Horse Racing Tips & Predictions: Liam Firkin Thursday Selections
York Thursday 15:00 Betting Odds- Winner
Sir Kevin Sinfield 7 In 7 Grand Finale Handicap (Heritage Handicap)
- Starters:17
- Distance:7f 192y
- Class: 2
- Age:3YO plus
- Prize:£77310
- Going:Good
Best Odds
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| 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 4 1/4 |
Win only |
Win only | ||||
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| 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 4 1/4 |
Win only |
Win only | ||||
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| 4 |  Rossa Ryan21/1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | SP | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11/4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | SP | 3 | 3 | |
| 6 |  Tom Marquand70-702 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 6 | SP | 6 | 6 | 6 | 11/2 | 11/2 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 11/2 | 11/2 | 6 | 11/2 | 11/2 | SP | 861/ 100 | 861/ 100 | |
| 8 |  James Doyle/60-48 | 17/2 | 8 | 17/2 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 17/2 | 17/2 | 8 | SP | 8 | 8 | 8 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 8 | 8 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 8 | 8 | 8 | SP | 843/ 100 | 843/ 100 | |
| 10 |  W Buick7-1310 | 15/2 | 10 | 17/2 | 17/2 | 8 | 8 | 17/2 | 17/2 | 8 | SP | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 15/2 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 15/2 | 8 | SP | 59/5 | 59/5 | |
| 9 |  Dylan Browne McMonagle11-726 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 10 | SP | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | SP | 81/5 | 157/ 10 | |
| 15 |  Saffie Osborne-90213 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | SP | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | SP | 26 | 26 | |
| 5 |  Oisin Murphy213401 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 10 | SP | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 10 | SP | 71/5 | 71/5 | |
| 11 |  George Wood060757 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 12 | SP | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | SP | 88/5 | 147/ 10 | |
| 3 |  D Tudhope258429 | 16 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 16 | SP | 16 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 16 | 14 | 16 | SP | 93/5 | 181/ 10 | |
| 1 |  Callum Rodriguez67-942 | 14 | 18 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 14 | 14 | SP | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 14 | SP | 167/ 10 | 171/ 10 | |
| 16 |  Ray Dawson1-8367 | 16 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 12 | SP | 12 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 20 | 20 | 12 | 12 | 12 | SP | 171/ 10 | 167/ 10 | |
| 7 |  Callum Shepherd9-0603 | 18 | 20 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | SP | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 16 | SP | 23 | 23 | |
| 17 |  Edward Greatrex-70602 | 25 | 25 | 22 | 20 | 20 | 22 | 18 | 22 | 20 | SP | 18 | 22 | 20 | 22 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 20 | 20 | 20 | SP | 28 | 34 | |
| 14 |  P J McDonald9-0923 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 28 | 28 | 25 | SP | 25 | 28 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | SP | 30 | 30 | |
| 13 |  C Lee56-070 | 28 | 25 | 20 | 22 | 22 | 25 | 22 | 22 | 20 | SP | 22 | 25 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 20 | 22 | 25 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | SP | 26 | 28 | |
| 2 |  H Crouch-31061 | 28 | 33 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 25 | SP | 28 | 28 | 28 | 22 | 25 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 22 | 22 | 28 | 25 | 25 | SP | 42 | 42 | |
| 12 |  Mark Winn100799 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 40 | 33 | 33 | SP | 33 | 40 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | SP | 58 | 73 | |
York Thursday 15:00 Racecard & Betting Preview
Horse Number
Notables
Overview
Odds
1 (11) Point Lynasg (IRE) 25
Form: 67-942
Age: 7
Weight:
9 - 12 h
Colour: b
Dam: Initially
Sire: Iffraaj
Dam's Sire: Dansili
Trainer: E Bethell
Jockey: Callum Rodriguez
Winner of five races from 7f to 1m on good to firm and good ground and on the all-weather, but last win was over two years ago. Beaten 3/4l by Holloway Boy when second of 6 at 9-4 on his latest outing at Pontefract over 1m (good to firm) last month.
18/1
2 (1) Arctic Dawng (GB) 12
Form: -31061
Age: 5
Weight:
9 - 10 p
Colour: gr
Dam: Rose Diamond
Sire: Blue Point
Dam's Sire: Daylami
Trainer: D & C Kubler
Jockey: H Crouch
Winner of five races at 7f on good to firm and good to soft ground and on the all-weather. A winner at 11-2 at Newmarket over 7f (good to firm) on his latest outing earlier this month, beating Castle Rock by 1/2l. Carries a 6lb penalty today for that success. Has also won at Doncaster this season.
33/1
3 (9) Cerulean Bayg (IRE) 12
Form: 258429
Age: 5
Weight:
9 - 9
Colour: b
Dam: Kathy Sun
Sire: New Bay
Dam's Sire: Intikhab
Trainer: D O'Meara
Jockey: D Tudhope
Winner of seven races from 6f to 1m on ground varying from good to soft. Beaten 11l behind Crown Board at 7-1 when 9th of 10 on his latest outing at Ascot over 1m (good to firm) earlier this month.
18/1
4 (8) Centigradec (IRE) 63
Form: 21/1
Age: 4
Weight:
9 - 6
Colour: b
Dam: Turko Beach
Sire: Too Darn Hot
Dam's Sire: Hard Spun
Trainer: R M Beckett
Jockey: Rossa Ryan
Successful twice at 1m on heavy ground and on the all-weather. Won on his latest outing when 6-4fav at Southwell over 1m in June, beating Star Of The Desert by 2 3/4l.
3/1
5 (15) The Lost Kingg (GB) 40
Form: 213401
Age: 4
Weight:
9 - 6
Colour: b
Dam: King Power
Sire: Kingman
Dam's Sire: Frankel
Trainer: A M Balding
Jockey: Oisin Murphy
Winner of five races from 7f to 1m 1f on good to firm and good ground and on the all-weather. Won on his latest outing when 3-1jt-fav over this course and distance (good to firm) last month, beating Mr Swivell by 1 1/4l. Has won 3 times this season.
14/1
6 (10) Bullet Pointg (GB) 12
Form: 70-702
Age: 5
Weight:
9 - 5 p
Colour: b
Dam: Crying Lightening
Sire: Advertise
Dam's Sire: Holy Roman Emperor
Trainer: W J Haggas
Jockey: Tom Marquand
He has won four times at 1m on ground varying from good to firm to soft and on the all-weather. Beaten 4l by Crown Board when second of 10 at 7-2jt-fav on his latest outing at Ascot over 1m (good to firm) earlier this month.
13/2
7 (6) Checkandchallengeg (GB) 40
Form: 9-0603
Age: 7
Weight:
9 - 3 p
Colour: b
Dam: Likeable
Sire: Fast Company
Dam's Sire: Dalakhani
Trainer: W J Knight
Jockey: Callum Shepherd
He has won four times from 7f to 1m 2f on good to soft and heavy ground and on the all-weather, but last win was over two years ago. Third of 13 behind The Lost King beaten 4l at 8-1 on his latest outing over this course and distance (good to firm) last month.
20/1
8 (5) Blue Brotherg (FR) 20
Form: /60-48
Age: 5
Weight:
9 - 2
Colour: b
Dam: Audacious Girl
Sire: Intello
Dam's Sire: Dabirsim
Trainer: H Al Jehani
Jockey: James Doyle
Successful at 7f and 1m on soft ground and on the all-weather. Beaten 4 1/2l behind Archivist at 5-1 when eighth of 18 on his latest outing at Goodwood over 1m (good to firm) last month.
17/2
9 (12) Eternal Forceg (GB) 56
Form: 11-726
Age: 4
Weight:
9 - 2 b 1
Colour: b
Dam: Ghaziyah
Sire: Dubawi
Dam's Sire: Galileo
Trainer: W J Haggas
Jockey: Dylan Browne McMonagle
He has won three times at 1m on good to firm and good to soft ground. Finished 6l behind Will Scarlet when sixth of 9 at 5-2fav on his latest outing at Newcastle over 1m 2f in June. He is wearing blinkers for the first time.
12/1
10 (17) Mezcalag (GB) 26
Form: 7-1310
Age: 4
Weight:
9 - 2
Colour: b
Dam: Why We Dream
Sire: Expert Eye
Dam's Sire: Al Kazeem
Trainer: J Channon
Jockey: W Buick
He has won three times from 7f to 1m on good to firm and good to soft ground and on the all-weather. Beaten 4 1/2l behind Amazing Journey at 9-2 when 12th of 16 on his latest outing at Ascot over 7f (good to firm) last month. Has won at Ascot and Doncaster this season.
10/1
11 (7) Hawksbillg (GB) 20
Form: 060757
Age: 4
Weight:
8 - 11
Colour: ch
Dam: Like
Sire: Kameko
Dam's Sire: Frankel
Trainer: R Spencer
Jockey: George Wood
A winner at 1m on good to firm ground, but that win was over two years ago. Beaten 3 1/2l behind Archivist at 25-1 when seventh of 18 on his latest outing at Goodwood over 1m (good to firm) last month.
14/1
12 (16) Mirskyg (GB) 19
Form: 100799
Age: 7
Weight:
8 - 11
Colour: ch
Dam: Latice
Sire: Siyouni
Dam's Sire: Inchinor
Trainer: D O'Meara
Jockey: Mark Winn
Winner of seven races from 1m to 1m 3f on ground varying from good to firm to soft. Beaten 3l behind Witch Hunter at 3-1jt-fav when 9th of 11 on his latest outing at Thirsk over 1m (good) earlier this month.
40/1
13 (4) Nizamg (FR) 63
Form: 56-070
Age: 4
Weight:
8 - 10
Colour: b
Dam: Nausha
Sire: Pinatubo
Dam's Sire: Kingman
Trainer: Ian Williams
Jockey: C Lee
He has won three times from 7f to 1m on soft and heavy ground. Beaten 8l behind Mezcala at 100-1 when 13th of 28 on his latest outing at Ascot over 7f (good to firm) in June.
28/1
14 (2) Yorkshireg (IRE) 12
Form: 9-0923
Age: 6
Weight:
8 - 10 t
Colour: b
Dam: Totsiyah
Sire: Harry Angel
Dam's Sire: Dalakhani
Trainer: E Bethell
Jockey: P J McDonald
Winner of six races from 6f to 7f on good to firm and good to soft ground and on the all-weather. Third of 13 behind Arctic Thunder beaten 3 1/2l at 11-1 on his latest outing at Haydock over 1m (good) earlier this month.
28/1
15 (13) Aaltog (FR) 26
Form: -90213
Age: 6
Weight:
8 - 8 t
Colour: b
Dam: Au Dessus
Sire: Zelzal
Dam's Sire: Siyouni
Trainer: Ian Williams
Jockey: Saffie Osborne
He has won four times from 7f to 1m 1f on ground varying from good to firm to good to soft and on the all-weather. Third of 16 behind Amazing Journey beaten 1 1/2l at 14-1 on his latest outing at Ascot over 7f (good to firm) last month.
14/1
16 (14) Spell Masterg (GB) 19
Form: 1-8367
Age: 4
Weight:
8 - 7
Colour: b
Dam: Golden Spell
Sire: Kameko
Dam's Sire: Al Kazeem
Trainer: Oli Rix
Jockey: Ray Dawson
Successful twice at 7f on good to firm ground and on the all-weather. Beaten 3 1/2l behind Crest of Fire at 4-1 when seventh of 15 on his latest outing at Goodwood over 1m 1f (good to firm) earlier this month.
20/1
17 (3) The Angel Kingg (GB) 18
Form: -70602
Age: 4
Weight:
8 - 7 t 1
Colour: gr
Dam: Khaleesy
Sire: Dark Angel
Dam's Sire: Galileo
Trainer: Ian Williams
Jockey: Edward Greatrex
Successful twice at 7f on good to soft and soft ground. Beaten 1l by Dance In The Storm when second of 10 at 22-1 on his latest outing at Chester over 7f (good) earlier this month. He is wearing a tongue-tie for the first time.
25/1
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KEY
Odds ShorteningOdds Drifting
Forecast Prices: Centigrade 4/1, Bullet Point 11/2, Blue Brother 8/1, Mezcala 7/1, Eternal Force 12/1, Aalto 12/1, The Lost King 8/1, Hawksbill 14/1, Cerulean Bay 14/1, Point Lynas 12/1, Spell Master 20/1, Checkandchallenge 20/1, The Angel King 25/1, Yorkshire 25/1, Nizam 33/1, Arctic Dawn 20/1, Mirsky 33/1
oddschecker Verdict
Centigrade showed plenty of promise as a juvenile against some smart individuals and returned from a lengthy absence to win at Southwell in June. Ralph Beckett's colt has the potential to be better than his opening mark of 102, but whether he is streetwise enough against experienced handicappers is a concern. Mezcala has won two valuable prizes this season, including the Buckingham Palace at Royal Ascot, but a wide draw tempers enthusiasm and the vote goes to last year's winner BULLET POINT. He took a step in the right direction when runner-up at the Shergar Cup earlier this month and that may have set him up for a repeat success off 1lb higher.
Prediction: 1st Bullet Point, 2nd Centigrade, 3rd Mezcala
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