Horse Racing Tips & Predictions: Liam Firkin Thursday Selections
Kempton 17:45 Betting Odds- Winner
Darley EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)
- Starters:8
- Distance:1m 0f 0y
- Class: 2
- Age:2YO only
- Prize:£21600
- Going:Standard to slow
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| 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 |
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| 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 |
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| 1 |  Billy Loughnane1 | 11/10 | 11/10 | 1 | 11/10 | 1 | 11/10 | 11/10 | 11/10 | 1 | 11/10 | SP | 1 | 1 | 11/10 | 11/10 | 11/10 | 11/10 | 11/10 | 11/10 | 11/10 | 1 | 1 | SP | 8/11 | 1 | |
| 5 |  Callum Shepherd252 | 10/3 | 10/3 | 3 | SP | 3 | 3 | 10/3 | 10/3 | 3 | 10/3 | SP | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10/3 | 100/ 30 | 100/ 30 | 10/3 | 10/3 | 10/3 | 3 | 10/3 | SP | 103/ 25 | 441/ 100 | |
| 7 |  Benoit D L Sayette- | 11/2 | 5 | 5 | SP | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 9/2 | 5 | SP | 9/2 | 9/2 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 9/2 | SP | 142/ 25 | 147/ 25 | |
| 8 |  Ray Dawson33 | 11/2 | 5 | 5 | SP | 9/2 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 9/2 | 5 | SP | 9/2 | 9/2 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 9/2 | 5 | SP | 549/ 100 | 333/ 50 | |
| 6 |  Harry Davies- | 10 | 10 | 10 | SP | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 10 | SP | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 10 | SP | 803/ 100 | 861/ 100 | |
| 2 |  Rob Hornby9 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 33 | 28 | 22 | 33 | 25 | 33 | SP | 25 | 25 | 28 | 28 | 33 | 28 | 22 | 28 | 28 | 33 | 33 | SP | 22 | 27 | |
| 4 |  David Probert64 | 33 | 33 | 33 | SP | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | SP | 28 | 28 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | SP | 23 | 25 | |
| 3 |  Rowan Scott- | 50 | 50 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | SP | 33 | 33 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | SP | 167/ 10 | 38 | |
Kempton 17:45 Racecard & Betting Preview
Horse Number
Notables
Overview
Odds
1 (5) Newsf (IRE) 17
Form: 1
Age: 2
Weight:
9 - 8
Colour: ch
Dam: Night Colours
Sire: Cracksman
Dam's Sire: Night Of Thunder
Trainer: G Boughey
Jockey: Billy Loughnane
Foaled 27 Jan. Dam won twice at 1m including a Group 2 race. A winner at 5-1 at Southwell over 7f on her latest outing last month, beating Keithaar by 6l.
11/10
2 (1) Bintwillseaf (GB) 35
Form: 9
Age: 2
Weight:
9 - 2
Colour: b
Dam: Queen Margherita
Sire: Nathaniel
Dam's Sire: Montjeu
Trainer: J G Portman
Jockey: Rob Hornby
Foaled 22 Feb. Half-sister to Noble Anthem, won three times over the flat at 1m and 1m 2f and in a chase at 2m. Beaten 9l behind Clarity at 100-1 when 9th of 10 on her racecourse debut at Ascot over 1m (good) last month.
33/1
3 (7) Fifth Amendmentf (IRE)
Form:
Age: 2
Weight:
9 - 2
Colour: b
Dam: Promise Me
Sire: Starspangledbanner
Dam's Sire: Montjeu
Trainer: J G Portman
Jockey: Rowan Scott
Foaled 9 Apr. Half-sister to Coltrane, won ten times between 1m 4f and 2m 4f including two Group 2 races.
50/1
4 (6) Lady Ranyaf (FR) 17
Form: 64
Age: 2
Weight:
9 - 2
Colour: b
Dam: Heavenly Song
Sire: Camelot
Dam's Sire: Oratorio
Trainer: Harry Charlton
Jockey: David Probert
Foaled 13 Feb. Full sister to Sinjaari, won three times at 1m and 1m 2f. Unplaced in both starts. Finished 6l behind Ayuq when fourth of 9 at 50-1 on her latest outing at Southwell over 1m last month.
33/1
5 (8) Lily Pinkf (GB) 20
Form: 252
Age: 2
Weight:
9 - 2
Colour: ch
Dam: Mairwen
Sire: Cracksman
Dam's Sire: Dubawi
Trainer: C Johnston
Jockey: Callum Shepherd
Foaled 19 Apr. Placed twice in three starts. Beaten 2l by Flower Show when second of 7 at 4-1 on her latest outing at Newmarket over 1m (good) last month.
10/3
6 (2) Playhousef (GB)
Form:
Age: 2
Weight:
9 - 2
Colour: b
Dam: Grace And Favour
Sire: Lope De Vega
Dam's Sire: Montjeu
Trainer: W J Haggas
Jockey: Harry Davies
Foaled 29 Mar. Half-sister to Game And Set, won at 6f.
10/1
7 (3) Red Curryf (GB)
Form:
Age: 2
Weight:
9 - 2
Colour: b
Dam: Auld Alliance
Sire: Sea The Stars
Dam's Sire: Montjeu
Trainer: J & T Gosden
Jockey: Benoit D L Sayette
Foaled 1 Apr. Half-sister to Spectacular Style, won four times over the flat between 1m 1f and 1m 6f, in a chase at 2m 2f and in an all-weather flat race at 1m 6f.
11/2
8 (4) Watch Partyf (IRE) 24
Form: 33
Age: 2
Weight:
9 - 2
Colour: gr
Dam: Nkosikazi
Sire: Lope De Vega
Dam's Sire: Cape Cross
Trainer: R Varian
Jockey: Ray Dawson
Foaled 21 Feb. Full sister to Queen Of The Bogs, won at 1m 1f. Placed once in two starts. Third of 9 behind Chasing Daylight beaten 3l at 5-6fav on her latest outing at Yarmouth over 7f (good to soft) last month.
11/2
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Odds ShorteningOdds Drifting
Forecast Prices: News 7/4, Lily Pink 4/1, Red Curry 5/1, Watch Party 9/2, Playhouse 6/1, Bintwillsea 33/1, Lady Ranya 20/1, Fifth Amendment 33/1
oddschecker Verdict
Lily Pink would be a deserved winner having occupied the runner-up spot on two of her three racecourse appearances, while Watch Party has looked ready for a step up to a mile on both of her starts and also enters calculations. Newcomers Red Curry and Playhouse represent powerful yards and are of definite interest, but this could be all about NEWS. The daughter of Cracksman, who is from the family of 1000 Guineas heroine Mother Earth, looked potentially smart when bolting up at Southwell and the penalty might not be enough to stop her from going in again.
Prediction: 1st News, 2nd Lily Pink, 3rd Red Curry
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