Thursday's Horse Racing Tips from Andy Holding
Lingfield 18:28 Betting Odds- Winner
Emilies 21st Birthday Handicap
- Starters:13
- Distance:7f 1y
- Class: 6
- Age:3YO plus
- Prize:£3664
- Going:Standard
Best Odds
Odds Shortening
Odds Drifting
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| 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 |
Win only |
Win only | ||||
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Best Odds
Odds Shortening
Odds Drifting
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| 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 |
Win only |
Win only | ||||
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| 13 |  Callum Shepherd580600 | 7/2 | 7/2 | 3 | 4 | 10/3 | 10/3 | 3 | 97/29 | 7/2 | 3 | 10/3 | 3 | 10/3 | 10/3 | 7/2 | 7/2 | 100/ 30 | 10/3 | 10/3 | 10/3 | 10/3 | 7/2 | 7/2 | SP | 10/3 | 7/2 | |
| 2 |  Finley Marsh619-33 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 11/2 | 5 | 11/2 | 9/2 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 11/2 | 5 | 9/2 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 11/2 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 5 | 5 | 5 | SP | 549/ 100 | 142/ 25 | |
| 6 |  Daniel Muscutt006323 | 11/2 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 5 | 5 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 4 | 5 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 9/2 | SP | 333/ 50 | 333/ 50 | |
| 3 |  Jack Callan454124 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 6 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 11/2 | 13/2 | 9/2 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 6 | 6 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 13/2 | 13/2 | SP | 441/ 50 | 441/ 50 | |
| 11 |  David Probert8-602 | 8 | 17/2 | 17/2 | 17/2 | 9 | 9 | 15/2 | 17/2 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 17/2 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 17/2 | 8 | 17/2 | SP | 49/5 | 49/5 | |
| 9 |  George Bass32-682 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 17/2 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 17/2 | 10 | 9 | SP | 861/ 100 | 441/ 50 | |
| 1 |  Hope Regan-45671 | 17/2 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | SP | 113/ 10 | 59/5 | |
| 4 |  Darragh Keenan320361 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | SP | 123/ 10 | 66/5 | |
| 8 |  Charlie Tucker431686 | 16 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 16 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | SP | 181/ 10 | 20 | |
| 5 |  William Cox021974 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 16 | 20 | 20 | 16 | 20 | 20 | 18 | 18 | 20 | 20 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 20 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | SP | 20 | 30 | |
| 12 |  Joe Leavy66-664 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 20 | 25 | 25 | 20 | 25 | 25 | 22 | 22 | 25 | 25 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 25 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | SP | 30 | 53 | |
| 10 |  R Havlin46-678 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 25 | 28 | 28 | 22 | 28 | 28 | 25 | 25 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 25 | 25 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 25 | 25 | 25 | SP | 38 | 48 | |
| 7 |  Dominique Van Der Kraats23-727 | 40 | 40 | 28 | 28 | 40 | 40 | 28 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 40 | 40 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 40 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | SP | 34 | 97 | |
Lingfield 18:28 Racecard & Betting Preview
Horse Number
Notables
Overview
Odds
1 (12) Lerwickg (GB) 9
Form: -45671
Age: 6
Weight:
10 - 6 b e/s
Colour: b
Dam: Mystique
Sire: Awtaad
Dam's Sire: Oasis Dream
Trainer: D M Loughnane
Jockey: Hope Regan (7)
He has won three times from 7f to 1m. A winner at 10-1 at Ffos Las over 7f (good) on his latest outing earlier this month, beating Cypriot Diaspora by 2 1/2l. Carries a 5lb penalty today for that success.
10/1
2 (10) Spirit Of Breezeg (IRE) 24
Form: 619-33
Age: 6
Weight:
10 - 1 t
Colour: b
Dam: Gender Dance
Sire: Invincible Spirit
Dam's Sire: Miesques Son
Trainer: G & J Moore
Jockey: Finley Marsh
He has won three times from 6f to 7f including a win on polytrack. Third of 7 behind Footstepinthewoods beaten 1 1/2l at 5-2 on his latest outing at Windsor over 1m (good to firm) last month.
11/2
3 (1) Split Elevensg (GB) 46
Form: 454124
Age: 8
Weight:
9 - 12
Colour: b
Dam: Woodland Scene
Sire: Ajaya
Dam's Sire: Act One
Trainer: J Butler
Jockey: Jack Callan
Has won 13 races from 6f to 1m including 11 wins on the all-weather (5 PO). Finished 3l behind Lessay when fourth of 9 at 3-1fav on his latest outing at Wolverhampton over 7f in June.
13/2
4 (2) Elvethamg (IRE) 9
Form: 320361
Age: 4
Weight:
9 - 12 b
Colour: b
Dam: Elouges
Sire: Blue Point
Dam's Sire: Dalakhani
Trainer: C Allen
Jockey: Darragh Keenan
He has won three times at 6f on polytrack. A winner at 13-2 here over 6f on his latest outing earlier this month, beating Style King by 1/2l. Carries a 5lb penalty today for that success. Has won 3 times this season.
12/1
5 (4) Quick Quasarg (IRE) 13
Form: 021974
Age: 3
Weight:
9 - 10 b
Colour: b
Dam: Mehronissa
Sire: Palace Pier
Dam's Sire: Iffraaj
Trainer: A Watson
Jockey: William Cox
A winner at 7f on polytrack. Finished 2 1/2l behind Espanita when fourth of 10 at 22-1 on his latest outing at Wolverhampton over 7f last month.
20/1
6 (7) Midnights Dreamg (IRE) 14
Form: 006323
Age: 5
Weight:
9 - 9 v
Colour: b
Dam: Goodnight And Joy
Sire: Cappella Sansevero
Dam's Sire: Rip Van Winkle
Trainer: J Parr
Jockey: Daniel Muscutt
Successful at 7f and 1m including a win on polytrack. Third of 10 behind Manton Road beaten 2 1/4l at 13-2 on his latest outing at Wolverhampton over 7f last month.
11/2
7 (6) Wind Summerg (IRE) 136
Form: 23-727
Age: 3
Weight:
9 - 8 v
Colour: ch
Dam: Dawning
Sire: No Nay Never
Dam's Sire: Iffraaj
Trainer: I Mohammed & J Santos
Jockey: Dominique Van Der Kraats (7)
Placed in three of seven starts. Well beaten at 15-2 behind Lux Aeterna when last of 7 on his latest outing at Wolverhampton over 1m 1f in March.
40/1
8 (9) Franciscog (GB) 20
Form: 431686
Age: 5
Weight:
9 - 8 t v
Colour: b
Dam: Talampaya
Sire: Zoustar
Dam's Sire: Elusive Quality
Trainer: P R Chamings
Jockey: Charlie Tucker (7)
Successful twice at 7f on the all-weather (1 PO). Finished 4 1/2l behind Auburn Avenue when sixth of 7 at 22-1 on his latest outing at Chepstow over 7f (good to firm) last month.
16/1
9 (8) Cheliog (GB) 69
Form: 32-682
Age: 3
Weight:
9 - 6
Colour: b
Dam: Tulip Dress
Sire: Sergei Prokofiev
Dam's Sire: Dutch Art
Trainer: D J Coakley
Jockey: George Bass
Placed in three of six starts. Beaten 4 1/2l by Miss Lady Grace when second of 9 at 8-1 on his latest outing at Goodwood over 7f (good to soft) in June.
10/1
10 (3) Blue Samunaf (IRE) 13
Form: 46-678
Age: 3
Weight:
9 - 4 h
Colour: ch
Dam: Samuna
Sire: Space Blues
Dam's Sire: Samum
Trainer: James Owen
Jockey: R Havlin
Yet to place in six starts. Beaten 10l behind Spring Bloom at 16-1 when eighth of 10 on her latest outing at Newmarket over 6f (good to firm) last month.
28/1
11 (11) Captive Beautyf (IRE) 23
Form: 8-602
Age: 3
Weight:
9 - 3
Colour: b
Dam: Sirens Cove
Sire: Showcasing
Dam's Sire: Sir Percy
Trainer: R Burdon
Jockey: David Probert
Placed once in four starts. Beaten a head by Distillation when second of 10 at 16-1 on her latest outing at Wolverhampton over 7f last month.
9/1
12 (5) My Dad Tomg (IRE) 47
Form: 66-664
Age: 3
Weight:
9 - 3 p
Colour: b
Dam: Punakha
Sire: Profitable
Dam's Sire: Acclamation
Trainer: R Hannon
Jockey: Joe Leavy
Placed once in 11 starts. Finished 10l behind Savannah Smiles when last of 4 at 7-2 on his latest outing here over 6f (good to firm) in June.
25/1
13 (13) Oxford Circusg (IRE) 64
Form: 580600
Age: 4
Weight:
9 - 2
Colour: b
Dam: Optimate
Sire: Mehmas
Dam's Sire: Kodiac
Trainer: James Owen
Jockey: Callum Shepherd
Placed once in ten starts. Well beaten at 25-1 behind Imnotleavinyou when last of 14 on his latest outing at Limerick over 7f (yielding) in June. Having his first run for a new stable today, previously with Denis Gerard Hogan in Ireland.
4/1
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KEY
Odds ShorteningOdds Drifting
Forecast Prices: Oxford Circus 12/1, Spirit Of Breeze 12/1, Midnights Dream 8/1, Split Elevens 10/1, Captive Beauty 6/1, Chelio 14/1, Lerwick 3/1, Elvetham 11/2, Francisco 20/1, Quick Quasar 10/1, My Dad Tom 14/1, Blue Samuna 20/1, Wind Summer 20/1
oddschecker Verdict
CAPTIVE BEAUTY went desperately close on her handicap bow at Wolverhampton and with the likelihood of more to come, she can defy a 2lb rise in the handicap to go one place better. 6f course winner Elvetham is worth another crack back up in distance and Ffos Las scorer Lerwick makes plenty of appeal, given that Hope Regan takes 7lb off his back this time.
Prediction: 1st Captive Beauty, 2nd Elvetham, 3rd Lerwick
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