Cyprus v Belgium - Tuesday 19:45, Sky Sports 3
Belgium began life under Roberto Martinez and Thierry Henry with a 2-0 friendly defeat at home to Spain as they could only manage a single shot on target and spent most of the game chasing Spanish shadows. They should have an easier time against a Cyprus side that have lost five of their last six and were in fact in their qualification group for the Euros as they beat them by an aggregate of 6-0, though it was just 1-0 in Cyprus.
Indeed, Cyprus have failed to score in six of their last nine at home as they lost five of these games, though only one of their defeats was by more than one goal and they only trailed at the break in two. Belgium are the 9th best side in the world according to our rankings and Cyprus’s record when hosting top-30 teams since 2008 is W0-D2-L7, though again they only lost three by more than one goal.
The Belgians have been strong on the road in recent times, winning 10 of their last 13 away, though they scored more than twice only three times. We have Cyprus ranked down in 106th and Belgium have won all four of their trips to sides with a ranking between 70th and 130th since 2012, with three 2-0’s and a 1-0.
As a result, and since all three of Belgium’s wins were without conceding at the Euros, we’re going to back Belgium to win and Under 2.5 Goalsor for those looking for a bigger price, the 2-0 correct score looks a good bet.