Belgium v Bosnia Herzegovina – Friday 19:45, Sky Sports 5

Belgium got their first win under Roberto Martinez thanks to a Romelu Lukaku brace in a 3-0 victory away to Cyprus in their opening qualifier. Bosnia look to be the Belgians’ greatest threat in Group H and they got off to a flying start by thumping minnows Estonia 5-0.

Belgium have won nine of 12 unbeaten home matches, though they’ve kept just four clean sheets in this time. In terms of qualifiers they’ve not lost on home soil since Germany beat them in 2012, going W9-D5 since, while both teams found the net in nine of these as the Belgians haven’t been the best defensively. Something the appointment of Martinez won’t necessarily cure.

Bosnia actually have a decent record on the road in recent qualifying campaigns: they’ve gone W8-D4-L5 since 2012 but according to our rankings they’ve only come up against top-20 sides (we have Belgium ranked 12th) twice in this time and they lost both. One was a 6-2 defeat to Portugal while the other was a 3-1 loss to their opponents here during Euro 2016 qualifying.

Indeed, Bosnia have lost six of seven trips to top-15 sides since 2006. They did however, find the net in five of these and that, together with Belgium’s questionable defensive record means we’re going to back Belgium to Win and both teams to score.

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Belgium to Win & BTTS - 1pt @ 3.25