Slovakia v Scotland - Tuesday 19:45, Sky Sports 2

Slovakia were undone by a late Adam Lallana strike in their opening qualifier against England and they were also beaten 1-0 in Slovenia on Saturday evening and as a result they’ve got it all to do if they’re to qualify. Scotland, meanwhile, won their opener 5-1 in Malta but could manage only a point at home to Lithuania and that was as a result of a late James McArthur goal.

Slovakia proved against England that they’re a tough side to beat at home and a W9-D3-L2 record in their own back yard since 2014 backs that up. These sides are very closely matched on our rankings, with Slovakia 43rd and Scotland 50th, and Slovakia’s record when hosting sides between 30th and 70th is W5-D2-L2 since 2014 in games that have tended to be low-scoring, with the last four all seeing fewer than two goals.

Scotland’s away record is W4-D3-L4 since 2014, but a couple of those victories came against weak opposition in Malta and Gibraltar. Indeed, when travelling to sides that are ranked above them, the Scots are W3-D2-L14 since 2008, failing to score in nine of these defeats. That, together with the fact that Slovakia have kept a clean sheet in half their last 10 home games means that we’re backing them to win to nil.

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Slovakia Win to Nil - 1pt @ 3.4