Supreme Court Odds: Barbara Lagoa Heavy Favorite To Replace Ruth Bader Ginsburg
It's been a rough week in politics since the sad passing of Ruth Bader Ginsburg. There has been shock and anger across the political spectrum after Donald Trump said that he'd nominate somebody to replace Ginsburg as the new justice next week. Many view such a signficiant decision as one that should have input from whoever is the President after the upcoming election.
One British bookmaker has priced up the potential replacements, and Barbara Lagoa has opened as the heavy favorite. It's worth noting that Donald Trump himself said that his nomination would be a woman. The 52-year old lawyer is as short at -204, which implies a 67.1% chance that she gets the nomination.
That puts her ahead of her nearest rival Amy Coney Barrett, who with odds +160 is thought to be the only other major competitor. Both Amul Thapar and Britt Grant come next but at odds on +2900 it's unlikely they'll be getting the nomination.
As well as a number of Democrats being shocked at Trump's plans there have been voices of dissent in his own party, with two Republican senators speaking out against making the move before the election. There are even claims that Democrats will block the move, throwing even more gasoline onto the fire of an already tense debate. The Republicans do hold a majority though, which means that Trump's plans will be difficult to stop unless more Republican senators block him.
Supreme Court Odds
Barbara Lagoa @ -204, a 67.1% implied probability
Amy Coney Barrett @ +160, a 38.5% implied probability
Amul Thapur @ +2900, a 3.3% implied probability
Britt Grant @ +2900, a 3.3% implied probability
Allison Eid @ +3100, a 3.1% implied probability
Andrew Napolitano @ +3100, a 3.1% implied probability
Charles Canady @ +3100, a 3.1% implied probability
How can you bet on the US election?Â
In short, if you are based in the US you can't legally bet on the 2020 US election. However, Online sports betting is legal in many states. See which bookmakers you can bet within your state here. All the data we use for our political articles is from our UK website which has millions of users each month checking odds.
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