Andy Holding's Horse Racing Tips for Tuesday
Chepstow 16:10 Betting Odds- Winner
Dunraven Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)
- Starters:15
- Distance:2m 0f 16y
- Class: 5
- Age:4YO to 5YO
- Prize:£2451
- Going:Hurdle: good to soft-soft in places; chase: good-good to firm in places
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| 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 |
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| 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 |
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| 7 |  S Bowen- | 4 | 7/2 | 7/2 | 7/2 | 7/2 | 7/2 | 7/2 | 10/3 | 7/2 | 3 | 7/2 | SP | 7/2 | 10/3 | 7/2 | 7/2 | 7/2 | 7/2 | 7/2 | 7/2 | 7/2 | 7/2 | SP | 49/10 | 47/10 | |
| 10 |  Harry Skelton- | 4 | 3 | 11/4 | 3 | 11/4 | 3 | 3 | 11/4 | 3 | 11/4 | 3 | SP | 11/4 | 11/4 | 3 | 11/4 | 11/4 | 11/4 | 3 | 11/4 | 11/4 | 11/4 | SP | 451/ 100 | 10/3 | |
| 3 |  Sam Twiston-Davies- | 4 | 9/2 | 4 | 9/2 | 11/2 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 4 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 9/2 | SP | 9/2 | 4 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 11/2 | 11/2 | SP | 461/ 100 | 529/ 100 | |
| 6 |  Harry Cobden2- | 11/2 | 9/2 | 4 | 9/2 | 4 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 4 | 9/2 | 4 | 9/2 | SP | 4 | 4 | 9/2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 9/2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | SP | 509/ 100 | 549/ 100 | |
| 12 |  Brendan Powell1- | 5 | 11/2 | 5 | 11/2 | 6 | 11/2 | 11/2 | 9/2 | 5 | 5 | 11/2 | SP | 5 | 5 | 11/2 | 11/2 | 11/2 | 5 | 11/2 | 5 | 11/2 | 6 | SP | 152/ 25 | 647/ 100 | |
| 11 |  Dylan Johnston- | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 11 | SP | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | SP | 843/ 100 | 59/5 | |
| 14 |  Tristan Durrell- | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 14 | SP | 14 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 16 | SP | 93/10 | 71/5 | |
| 5 |  Jack Stenhouse- | 11 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | SP | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 16 | SP | 49/5 | 76/5 | |
| 1 |  Paul O'Brien- | 22 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 16 | 20 | 18 | 20 | SP | 20 | 18 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 18 | 20 | SP | 147/ 10 | 22 | |
| 9 |  Bryan Carver4- | 28 | 22 | 20 | 22 | 18 | 22 | 22 | 18 | 22 | 18 | 22 | SP | 20 | 20 | 22 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 22 | 20 | 16 | 20 | SP | 20 | 24 | |
| 2 |  Philip Armson22- | 22 | 25 | 22 | 25 | 33 | 25 | 25 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 25 | SP | 25 | 22 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 28 | 33 | SP | 23 | 36 | |
| 8 |  Adam Wedge- | 25 | 28 | 25 | 28 | 30 | 28 | 28 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 28 | SP | 28 | 25 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 33 | 33 | SP | 22 | 38 | |
| 15 |  J J Burke- | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 40 | 50 | 40 | 50 | SP | 50 | 40 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | SP | 103/ 10 | 44 | |
| 4 |  Charlie Deutsch- | 66 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 40 | 50 | 50 | 33 | 50 | 40 | 50 | SP | 50 | 40 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 40 | 50 | SP | 2 | 53 | |
| 13 |  Harry Reed- | 80 | 80 | 80 | 80 | 100 | 80 | 80 | 66 | 66 | 80 | SP | 80 | 66 | 80 | 80 | 80 | 80 | 80 | 80 | 100 | 100 | SP | 103/ 10 | 82 | ||
Chepstow 16:10 Racecard & Betting Preview
Horse Number
Overview
Odds
1 Barton Passg (GB)
Form:
Age: 4
Weight:
11 - 2
Colour: b
Dam: Barton Rose
Sire: Passing Glance
Dam's Sire: Midnight Legend
Trainer: C E Longsdon
Jockey: Paul O'Brien
Dam won in a point to point race at 3m.
22/1
2 Bears Socksg (IRE) 325
Form: 22-
Age: 5
Weight:
11 - 2
Colour: b
Dam: Sambala
Sire: Leading Light
Dam's Sire: Danehill Dancer
Trainer: Dan Horsford
Jockey: Philip Armson (3)
Placed in two point-to-points from two starts. Beaten 7l by Well This Won't Do when second of 11 at 14-1fav on his latest outing in a point-to-point race at Larkhill over 2m in December last year. Having his first run for a new stable today, previously with Max Young.
33/1
3 Dont Panicg (GB)
Form:
Age: 4
Weight:
11 - 2
Colour: ch
Dam: Petticoat Tails
Sire: Nathaniel
Dam's Sire: Presenting
Trainer: P F Nicholls
Jockey: Sam Twiston-Davies
Half-brother to Sassipants, won in NH flat race at 2m.
11/2
4 I Never Saidg (GB)
Form:
Age: 5
Weight:
11 - 2
Colour: b
Dam: Monisha
Sire: Nathaniel
Dam's Sire: Sinndar
Trainer: J G M O'Shea
Jockey: Charlie Deutsch
Half-brother to Scarlet Ruby, won over hurdles at 1m 7f and on the flat at 1m 4f.
66/1
5 Just Coling (GB)
Form:
Age: 5
Weight:
11 - 2
Colour: b
Dam: Winners Wish
Sire: Capri
Dam's Sire: Clodovil
Trainer: P Hobbs & J White
Jockey: Jack Stenhouse (7)
Dam won twice at 1m 2f and 1m 6f.
16/1
6 Magimaxg (IRE) 192
Form: 2-
Age: 4
Weight:
11 - 2
Colour: b
Dam: Laciarash
Sire: Maxios
Dam's Sire: Stowaway
Trainer: Miss E C Lavelle
Jockey: Harry Cobden
Half-brother to Mel Monroe, won over hurdles at 2m 3f and in a point to point race at 3m. Beaten 2 1/2l by Prime Contender when second of 9 at 6-1fav on his racecourse debut at Dromahane over 3m (good - yielding) in April. Having his first run for a new stable today.
11/2
7 Mirage DAinayg (FR)
Form:
Age: 4
Weight:
11 - 2
Colour: gr
Dam: Etincelle Dainay
Sire: Moises Has
Dam's Sire: Muhtathir
Trainer: O Murphy
Jockey: S Bowen
Dam a lightly raced maiden.
4/1
8 Mood Musicg (IRE)
Form:
Age: 4
Weight:
11 - 2
Colour: b
Dam: Nagham
Sire: Maxios
Dam's Sire: Camacho
Trainer: Mrs C Williams
Jockey: Adam Wedge
Half-brother to Corvair, won three times at 6f and 7f.
33/1
9 Ramblingamblinmang (GB) 256
Form: 4-
Age: 5
Weight:
11 - 2
Colour: b
Dam: Lady Of Lamanver
Sire: Telescope
Dam's Sire: Lucarno
Trainer: C Honour
Jockey: Bryan Carver
Finished 17l behind Bande Organisee when fourth of 8 at 16-1 on his racecourse debut over this course and distance (soft) in February.
28/1
10 Smoke And Fireg (IRE)
Form:
Age: 4
Weight:
11 - 2
Colour: b
Dam: Onewayortheother
Sire: Order Of St George
Dam's Sire: Presenting
Trainer: D Skelton
Jockey: Harry Skelton
Half-brother to Birchdale, won twice over hurdles at 2m 4f and 2m 5f, twice in chases at 2m 5f and 3m and in a point to point race at 3m including a Group 2 race.
4/1
11 Smooth Landingg (GB)
Form:
Age: 4
Weight:
11 - 2
Colour: b
Dam: Henri Bella
Sire: Arrigo
Dam's Sire: Presenting
Trainer: S Thomas
Jockey: Dylan Johnston
Half-brother to Deere Mark, won twice over hurdles at 2m and in NH flat race at 2m.
11/1
12 Uncle Ccg (IRE) 234
Form: 1-
Age: 4
Weight:
11 - 2
Colour: b
Dam: Lady Derrinlaur
Sire: Workforce
Dam's Sire: Presenting
Trainer: J Tizzard
Jockey: Brendan Powell
A winner at 5-2fav in a point-to-point race at Knockanohill over 3m on his latest outing in March, beating Cluain Meala by 6l. Having his first run for a new stable today, previously with Ciaran William Fennessy in Ireland.
6/1
13 Yellow N Redg (GB)
Form:
Age: 4
Weight:
11 - 2
Colour: b
Dam: Madame Rouge
Sire: Eqtidaar
Dam's Sire: Major Cadeaux
Trainer: M Blake
Jockey: Harry Reed
Half-brother to Trusty Rusty, won three times at 5f and 6f.
100/1
14 Dare Mef (GB)
Form:
Age: 4
Weight:
10 - 9
Colour: b
Dam: Fleetstone
Sire: Planteur
Dam's Sire: Fleetwood
Trainer: D Skelton
Jockey: Tristan Durrell
Dam a lightly raced maiden.
16/1
15 Magic Metallurgyf (GB)
Form:
Age: 4
Weight:
10 - 9
Colour: b
Dam: Shan Magic
Sire: Jack Hobbs
Dam's Sire: Shantou
Trainer: A W Carroll
Jockey: J J Burke
Dam unraced.
50/1
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KEY
Odds ShorteningOdds Drifting
Forecast Prices: Mirage DAinay 5/1, Smoke And Fire 5/1, Dont Panic 9/2, Magimax 14/1, Uncle Cc 4/1, Smooth Landing 20/1, Dare Me 13/2, Just Colin 7/1, Barton Pass 20/1, Ramblingamblinman 33/1, Bears Socks 20/1, Mood Music 20/1, Magic Metallurgy 33/1, I Never Said 66/1, Yellow N Red 100/1
oddschecker Verdict
Dan Skelton won last year's renewal with a newcomer and SMOKE AND FIRE looks another strong candidate for success. The Order Of St George gelding cost 50,000 euros as a half-brother to three winners over hurdles and he looks the yard's first string ahead of Dare Me. Irish point-to-point winner Uncle Cc should be noted for a stable in flying form, while Mirage D'ainay and Don't Panic also warrant plenty of respect.
Prediction: 1st Smoke And Fire, 2nd Uncle Cc, 3rd Mirage Dainay
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