Horse Racing Tips & Predictions: Liam Firkin Thursday Selections
Kempton 16:38 Betting Odds- Winner
Bet 20 Get 20 With Unibet Nursery
- Starters:12
- Distance:6f
- Class: 5
- Age:2YO only
- Prize:£4187
- Going:Standard to slow
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Odds Drifting
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| 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 |
Win only |
Win only | |||
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Best Odds
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| 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 |
Win only |
Win only | |||
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| 4 |  David Probert4312 | 2 | 15/8 | 6/4 | 7/4 | 7/4 | 7/4 | 13/8 | 7/4 | 13/8 | 7/4 | SP | 13/8 | 6/4 | 7/4 | 13/8 | 7/4 | 13/8 | 13/8 | 13/8 | 13/8 | 7/4 | 7/4 | SP | 13/5 | 11/5 | |
| 5 |  Billy Loughnane332 | 11/4 | 11/4 | 17/8 | 9/4 | 9/4 | 9/4 | 9/4 | 9/4 | 85/40 | 9/4 | SP | 9/4 | 2 | 9/4 | 9/4 | 9/4 | 9/4 | 9/4 | 9/4 | 9/4 | 9/4 | 9/4 | SP | 13/5 | 27/10 | |
| 7 |  Charles Bishop4205 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 3 | 7/2 | 4 | 7/2 | 7/2 | 10/3 | 10/3 | 7/2 | SP | 7/2 | 10/3 | 7/2 | 7/2 | 7/2 | 100/ 30 | 7/2 | 7/2 | 7/2 | 7/2 | 7/2 | SP | 43/10 | 47/10 | |
| 2 |  S M Levey044115 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 6 | 13/2 | 7 | 13/2 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 7 | SP | 6 | 6 | 13/2 | 6 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | SP | 823/ 100 | 861/ 100 | |
| 3 |  Kaiya Fraser6124 | 8 | 15/2 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | SP | 6 | 11/2 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | SP | 353/ 50 | 196/ 25 | |
| 8 |  Callum Shepherd431 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 13/2 | 7 | SP | 7 | 13/2 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 13/2 | 13/2 | SP | 529/ 100 | 59/5 | |
| 11 |  K T O'Neill495613 | 18 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | SP | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 11 | SP | 20 | 30 | |
| 1 |  Luke Catton387859 | 22 | 16 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 11 | SP | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 10 | SP | 147/ 10 | 34 | |
| 9 |  Rowan Scott23434 | 28 | 28 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 22 | 25 | SP | 25 | 22 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | SP | 147/ 10 | 40 | |
| 12 |  Ray Dawson709 | 33 | 33 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 22 | 25 | SP | 25 | 22 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | SP | 167/ 10 | 40 | |
| 10 |  William Cox06417 | 40 | 40 | 33 | SP | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | SP | 33 | 28 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | SP | 147/ 10 | 46 | |
| 6 |  Harry Davies1300 | 66 | 50 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | SP | 40 | 33 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | SP | 103/ 10 | 42 | |
Kempton 16:38 Racecard & Betting Preview
Horse Number
Notables
Overview
Odds
1 (9) Wait Geordieg (GB) 28
Form: 387859
Age: 2
Weight:
9 - 9
Colour: b
Dam: Miss Jingles
Sire: Mehmas
Dam's Sire: Exceed And Excel
Trainer: H Palmer
Jockey: Luke Catton (3)
Foaled 4 Mar. A winner at 5f. Beaten 7l behind Beresford Gap at 40-1 when 9th of 15 on his latest outing at Doncaster over 6f (good) last month.
22/1
2 (7) Harrys Popg (GB) 18
Form: 044115
Age: 2
Weight:
9 - 9
Colour: b
Dam: Poppy Jag
Sire: Harry Angel
Dam's Sire: Kodiac
Trainer: Dylan Cunha
Jockey: S M Levey
Foaled 1 Apr. Successful twice at 6f. Well beaten at 4-1 behind Resemblance when last of 5 on his latest outing at Ffos Las over 6f (soft) last month.
7/1
3 (8) Sydney Gracef (IRE) 21
Form: 6124
Age: 2
Weight:
9 - 9
Colour: b
Dam: Pas De Soucis
Sire: Minzaal
Dam's Sire: Footstepsinthesand
Trainer: C Fellowes
Jockey: Kaiya Fraser
Foaled 18 Apr. A winner at 5f. Finished 6l behind Mussab when fourth of 8 at 20-1 on her latest outing at Ayr over 5f (soft) last month.
8/1
4 (4) Laylatyf (GB) 43
Form: 4312
Age: 2
Weight:
9 - 8
Colour: b
Dam: Nadein
Sire: Ardad
Dam's Sire: Golden Horn
Trainer: Harry Charlton
Jockey: David Probert
Foaled 19 Mar. A winner at 6f. Beaten 3/4l by Downonmainstreet when second of 7 at 2-1fav on her latest outing at Ffos Las over 6f (good) in August.
2/1
5 (2) Soeur De Flashf (GB) 18
Form: 332
Age: 2
Weight:
9 - 6 t
Colour: b
Dam: Mrs Todd
Sire: Ardad
Dam's Sire: Foxwedge
Trainer: C G Cox
Jockey: Billy Loughnane
Foaled 15 Feb. Placed in all three of her starts. Beaten a head by Arabica Queen when second of 14 at 11-2 on her latest outing at Leicester over 6f (good) last month.
11/4
6 (10) Frumoasaf (IRE) 29
Form: 1300
Age: 2
Weight:
9 - 5 v
Colour: b
Dam: Summer Daydream
Sire: Supremacy
Dam's Sire: Footstepsinthesand
Trainer: C Fellowes
Jockey: Harry Davies
Foaled 21 Jan. A winner at 5f on the all-weather. Beaten 12l behind Location Location at 40-1 when 10th of 12 on her latest outing at Lingfield over 6f last month.
66/1
7 (3) Minster Boyg (IRE) 56
Form: 4205
Age: 2
Weight:
9 - 4
Colour: ch
Dam: Air Of Mystery
Sire: Calyx
Dam's Sire: Sakhees Secret
Trainer: Eve Johnson Houghton
Jockey: Charles Bishop
Foaled 25 Mar. Placed once in four starts. Finished 1l behind Bincimbal when last of 5 at 13-2 on his latest outing at Epsom over 7f (good to firm) in August.
9/2
8 (11) Bahia Bonitaf (GB) 20
Form: 431
Age: 2
Weight:
9 - 3
Colour: b
Dam: Bahia Star
Sire: Time Test
Dam's Sire: Twilight Son
Trainer: Jack Jones
Jockey: Callum Shepherd
Foaled 2 Mar. A winner at 9-2 at Newcastle over 6f on her latest outing last month, beating Deeno Bambino by 1 3/4l.
9/1
9 (1) Maximus Meridiusg (IRE) 18
Form: 23434
Age: 2
Weight:
9 - 2
Colour: b
Dam: Ti Amo Sempre
Sire: Persian Force
Dam's Sire: Galileo Gold
Trainer: D Loughnane
Jockey: Rowan Scott
Foaled 22 Apr. Placed once in five starts. Finished 15l behind Resemblance when fourth of 5 at 5-1 on his latest outing at Ffos Las over 6f (soft) last month.
28/1
10 (6) Yahairaf (IRE) 99
Form: 06417
Age: 2
Weight:
9 - 1 p
Colour: b
Dam: Lady Fashion
Sire: Minzaal
Dam's Sire: Oasis Dream
Trainer: Tom Dascombe
Jockey: William Cox
Foaled 31 Mar. A winner at 6f. Beaten 13l behind Innichen at 18-1 when seventh of 8 on her latest outing at Nottingham over 6f (good to firm) in July.
40/1
11 (5) Invincible Isaacg (GB) 53
Form: 495613
Age: 2
Weight:
9 - 0 v
Colour: b
Dam: Trouser The Cash
Sire: Mayson
Dam's Sire: Starspangledbanner
Trainer: Lemos Souza
Jockey: K T O'Neill
Foaled 9 Mar. A winner at 6f on polytrack. Third of 8 behind Trust Yourself beaten 4 1/2l at 3-1jt-fav on his latest outing at Wolverhampton over 6f in August.
18/1
12 (12) Agent Rosef (IRE) 25
Form: 709
Age: 2
Weight:
8 - 9
Colour: b
Dam: My Spirit
Sire: Churchill
Dam's Sire: Invincible Spirit
Trainer: S C Williams
Jockey: Ray Dawson
Foaled 6 Mar. Yet to place in three starts. Beaten 9l behind Instant Force at 150-1 when 9th of 10 on her latest outing at Windsor over 5f (good to soft) last month.
33/1
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KEY
Odds ShorteningOdds Drifting
Forecast Prices: Laylaty 3/1, Soeur De Flash 5/1, Minster Boy 16/1, Harrys Pop 10/1, Sydney Grace 6/1, Bahia Bonita 7/2, Invincible Isaac 12/1, Wait Geordie 16/1, Maximus Meridius 20/1, Agent Rose 14/1, Yahaira 25/1, Frumoasa 33/1
oddschecker Verdict
Bahia Bonita has improved with each outing, culminating in a victory on her third start at Newcastle. An official rating of 69 on her nursery debut looks workable and she isn't taken lightly, but a wide draw may leave her vulnerable. This could leave the door open for Leicester runner-up SOEUR DE FLASH to gain some compensation, with a 2lb nudge up the ratings looking fair. Laylaty and Sydney Grace are others of interest.
Prediction: 1st Soeur De Flash, 2nd Bahia Bonita, 3rd Laylaty
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