Andy Holding's Premium Racing Tips for Friday
Epsom Downs Saturday 17:20 Betting Odds- Winner
HKJC World Pool Northern Dancer Handicap (GBBPlus Race)
- Starters:17
- Distance:1m 4f 6y
- Class: 2
- Age:4YO plus
- Prize:£38655
- Going:Good to soft; 5f: good
Best Odds
Odds Shortening
Odds Drifting
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| 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 4 1/4 | 4 1/4 | 4 1/4 | 4 1/4 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 4 1/4 | 4 1/4 | 4 1/4 | 4 1/4 | 4 1/4 | 5 1/5 | 4 1/4 | 5 1/5 | 4 1/4 | 4 1/4 | 4 1/4 | 4 1/4 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 4 1/4 |
Win only |
Win only | |||
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Best Odds
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Odds Drifting
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| 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 4 1/4 | 4 1/4 | 4 1/4 | 4 1/4 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 4 1/4 | 4 1/4 | 4 1/4 | 4 1/4 | 4 1/4 | 5 1/5 | 4 1/4 | 5 1/5 | 4 1/4 | 4 1/4 | 4 1/4 | 4 1/4 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 4 1/4 |
Win only |
Win only | |||
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| 12 |  Connor Beasley120-11 | 5 | 11/2 | 5 | 5 | 5 | SP | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | SP | 5 | 5 | SP | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 11/2 | 11/2 | SP | 147/ 25 | ||
| 2 |  James Doyle1021-2 | 7 | 13/2 | 7 | 15/2 | 6 | SP | 15/2 | 15/2 | 13/2 | 15/2 | SP | 7 | 15/2 | SP | 7 | 13/2 | 7 | 7 | 15/2 | 7 | 7 | 15/2 | 7 | 7 | SP | 343/ 50 | ||
| 4 |  Oisin Murphy-61647 | 8 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 7 | SP | 15/2 | 15/2 | 7 | 15/2 | SP | 15/2 | 15/2 | SP | 15/2 | 7 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 15/2 | SP | 441/ 50 | ||
| 10 |  Toby Moore7/11-3 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 15/2 | 13/2 | SP | 8 | 15/2 | 7 | 7 | SP | 7 | 15/2 | SP | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 15/2 | 7 | 7 | SP | 29/4 | ||
| 9 |  Billy Loughnane540341 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | SP | 8 | 8 | 15/2 | 8 | SP | 8 | 8 | SP | 8 | 15/2 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 15/2 | 13/2 | 13/2 | SP | 441/ 50 | ||
| 16 |  Ray Dawson-64111 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | SP | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | SP | 10 | 10 | SP | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 11 | SP | 54/5 | ||
| 15 |  Harry Davies43-324 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | SP | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | SP | 12 | 12 | SP | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | SP | 103/ 10 | ||
| 6 |  D C Costello28240- | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | SP | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | SP | 12 | 12 | SP | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | SP | 157/ 10 | ||
| 13 |  Warren Fentiman38-045 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 10 | SP | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | SP | 11 | 11 | SP | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 | SP | 93/10 | ||
| 7 |  D Egan2-5341 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | SP | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | SP | 11 | 11 | SP | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | SP | 76/5 | ||
| 8 |  S H James414983 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 14 | SP | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | SP | 14 | 14 | SP | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 16 | SP | 24 | ||
| 1 |  Tom Marquand-68215 | 14 | 18 | 12 | 12 | 14 | SP | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | SP | 12 | 12 | SP | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 14 | SP | 171/ 10 | ||
| 5 |  Jack Dace16-509 | 20 | 20 | 18 | 18 | 16 | SP | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | SP | 18 | 18 | SP | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | SP | 181/ 10 | ||
| 14 |  S De Sousa11-939 | 16 | 20 | 16 | 16 | 16 | SP | 18 | 18 | 16 | 18 | SP | 16 | 16 | SP | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 14 | SP | 71/5 | ||
| 17 |  Laura Pearson412-05 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 33 | 28 | SP | 40 | 40 | 33 | 40 | SP | 40 | 40 | SP | 40 | 33 | 40 | 33 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 33 | 33 | 33 | SP | 22 | ||
| 3 |  Paddy Bradley723055 | 28 | 40 | 33 | 33 | 28 | SP | 33 | 33 | 28 | 33 | SP | 33 | 33 | SP | 33 | 28 | 33 | 28 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 28 | 28 | SP | 38 | ||
| 11 |  Marco Ghiani69-007 | 28 | 40 | 28 | 28 | 28 | SP | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | SP | 28 | 28 | SP | 28 | 28 | 28 | 25 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 25 | 25 | SP | 32 | ||
Epsom Downs Saturday 17:20 Racecard & Betting Preview
Horse Number
Notables
Overview
Odds
1 (3) Prydweng (IRE) 27
Form: -68215
Age: 8
Weight:
9 - 9
Colour: b
Dam: Honey Hunter
Sire: Camelot
Dam's Sire: Shamardal
Trainer: George Scott
Jockey: Tom Marquand
Has won 11 races from 1m 1f to 2m on ground varying from good to yielding - soft and on the all-weather. Finished 5l behind Lordano when fifth of 11 at 17-2 on his latest outing in the Group 2 Comer Group International 55. Oleander-Rennen at Hoppegarten over 2m (good) last month.
18/1
2 (1) Spinning Wheelg (GB) 14
Form: 1021-2
Age: 4
Weight:
9 - 8
Colour: b
Dam: Finespun
Sire: Postponed
Dam's Sire: Sea The Stars
Trainer: S & E Crisford
Jockey: James Doyle
He has won three times from 1m 2f to 1m 4f on good and good to soft ground. Beaten 1 1/2l by Valedictory when second of 7 at 11-2 on his latest outing at Goodwood over 1m 6f (good) last month.
15/2
3 (11) Military Academyg (GB) 35
Form: 723055
Age: 5
Weight:
9 - 8 b
Colour: b
Dam: Sovereign Parade
Sire: Fastnet Rock
Dam's Sire: Galileo
Trainer: Jane Chapple-Hyam
Jockey: Paddy Bradley
He has won three times from 1m 2f to 1m 4f on good to soft and heavy ground and on the all-weather. Finished 11l behind Daiquiri Bay when fifth of 8 at 33-1 on his latest outing at Newmarket over 1m 4f (good to firm) last month.
40/1
4 (14) Regal Ulixesg (GB) 22
Form: -61647
Age: 4
Weight:
9 - 4 h
Colour: ch
Dam: Regal Realm
Sire: Ulysses
Dam's Sire: Medicean
Trainer: A M Balding
Jockey: Oisin Murphy
He has won three times from 1m to 1m 2f on good and soft ground and on the all-weather. Beaten 4l behind Warrant Holder at 6-1 when seventh of 15 on his latest outing at York over 1m 2f (good) last month.
8/1
5 (17) Lord Melbourneg (IRE) 35
Form: 16-509
Age: 6
Weight:
9 - 3
Colour: b
Dam: Lolldaiga
Sire: Wootton Bassett
Dam's Sire: Teofilo
Trainer: R M Beckett
Jockey: Jack Dace (5)
Winner of five races from 1m 2f to 1m 4f on ground varying from good to heavy. Beaten 18l behind Yabher at 22-1 when last of 9 on his latest outing at Goodwood over 1m 2f (good) last month.
20/1
6 (4) Dancing In Parisg (FR) 273
Form: 28240-
Age: 6
Weight:
8 - 13
Colour: b
Dam: Ponte Sanangelo
Sire: Olympic Glory
Dam's Sire: Authorized
Trainer: Ian Williams
Jockey: D C Costello
He has won four times from 1m to 1m 6f on good ground and on the all-weather. Beaten 7l behind The Reverend at 9-2 when 12th of 15 on his latest outing at Haydock over 1m 6f (good) in September last year.
12/1
7 (12) Asgards Captaing (IRE) 22
Form: 2-5341
Age: 6
Weight:
8 - 12
Colour: b
Dam: Twiggys Girl
Sire: Make Believe
Dam's Sire: Manduro
Trainer: Dylan Cunha
Jockey: D Egan
Has won ten races from 1m to 1m 4f on good to firm and good ground and on the all-weather. A winner at 11-1 at Newmarket over 1m 4f (good) on his latest outing last month, beating Topteam by 1l.
12/1
8 (6) Antrimg (GB) 22
Form: 414983
Age: 4
Weight:
8 - 12 p
Colour: b
Dam: Portrush
Sire: Dubawi
Dam's Sire: Frankel
Trainer: K R Burke
Jockey: S H James
He has won three times from 1m 2f to 1m 3f on good ground and on the all-weather. Third of 7 behind Elsass beaten 6l at 10-3 on his latest outing at Hamilton over 1m 3f (good) last month.
16/1
9 (8) Night Breezeg (IRE) 39
Form: 540341
Age: 6
Weight:
8 - 11 t
Colour: b
Dam: Right Direction
Sire: New Approach
Dam's Sire: Cape Cross
Trainer: Ian Williams
Jockey: Billy Loughnane
Winner of six races from 1m 3f to 1m 4f on ground varying from good to firm to good to soft. A winner at 5-2 over this course and distance (good) on his latest outing in April, beating Nunc Est Bibendum by 3l.
9/1
10 (10) Give It To Me Ojg (GB) 15
Form: 7/11-3
Age: 5
Weight:
8 - 9 p
Colour: b
Dam: Matron Of Honour
Sire: Time Test
Dam's Sire: Teofilo
Trainer: G & J Moore
Jockey: Toby Moore (7)
Successful twice at 1m 4f on good and soft ground; has also won four hurdles. Third of 5 behind Bahadur beaten 10l at 3-1 on his latest outing at Goodwood over 2m (good) last month.
8/1
11 (2) Max Mayhemg (GB) 10
Form: 69-007
Age: 8
Weight:
8 - 9
Colour: b
Dam: Maybe Grace
Sire: New Bay
Dam's Sire: Hawk Wing
Trainer: George Baker
Jockey: Marco Ghiani
Winner of five races from 1m 2f to 1m 4f on good and yielding ground and on the all-weather. Beaten 4 1/2l behind Ernst Blofeld at 22-1 when seventh of 13 on his latest outing at Kempton over 1m 4f last month.
40/1
12 (9) Elsassg (IRE) 22
Form: 120-11
Age: 4
Weight:
8 - 8
Colour: b
Dam: Elle Memory
Sire: Sottsass
Dam's Sire: Maxios
Trainer: C Johnston
Jockey: Connor Beasley
He has won three times from 1m 2f to 1m 3f on good ground and on the all-weather. A winner at 3-1 at Hamilton over 1m 3f (good) on his latest outing last month, beating Humble Spark by 5l. Has also won at Southwell this season.
11/2
13 (13) Too Soong (GB) 14
Form: 38-045
Age: 4
Weight:
8 - 8 p 1
Colour: b
Dam: Soon
Sire: Too Darn Hot
Dam's Sire: Galileo
Trainer: G & J Moore
Jockey: Warren Fentiman (3)
A winner at 1m on heavy ground. Finished 6l behind Valedictory when fifth of 7 at 17-2 on his latest outing at Goodwood over 1m 6f (good) last month. He is wearing cheekpieces for the first time.
12/1
14 (16) Gordon Greyg (IRE) 28
Form: 11-939
Age: 6
Weight:
8 - 7 t
Colour: gr
Dam: Lady Aquitaine
Sire: Australia
Dam's Sire: El Prado
Trainer: George Baker
Jockey: S De Sousa
Winner of six races from 1m 2f to 1m 4f on good to firm and good ground and on the all-weather; has also won a hurdle. Beaten 13l behind Wine Dark Sea at 33-1 when 9th of 14 on his latest outing at Ascot over 1m 4f (good to firm) last month.
20/1
15 (15) Bulleting (IRE) 10
Form: 43-324
Age: 4
Weight:
8 - 7
Colour: b
Dam: Mountrice Lady
Sire: Advertise
Dam's Sire: Acclamation
Trainer: J G Portman
Jockey: Harry Davies
Successful at 1m and 1m 3f on the all-weather. Finished 3l behind Ernst Blofeld when fourth of 13 at 5-1 on his latest outing at Kempton over 1m 4f last month.
12/1
16 (7) Hengestg (GB) 9 (87j)
Form: -64111
Age: 4
Weight:
8 - 4
Colour: b
Dam: Contribution
Sire: Night Of Thunder
Dam's Sire: Champs Elysees
Trainer: Dylan Cunha
Jockey: Ray Dawson
He has won three times from 1m 2f to 1m 4f on good to firm and good ground. Won on his latest outing when 11-10fav at Yarmouth over 1m 2f (good to firm) last month, beating King's Hand by 3/4l. Has won 3 times this season.
12/1
17 (5) Northwest Passageg (GB) 17 (131j)
Form: 412-05
Age: 4
Weight:
8 - 4
Colour: gr
Dam: Dijlah
Sire: Ulysses
Dam's Sire: Linamix
Trainer: I Furtado
Jockey: Laura Pearson
A winner at 1m 2f on heavy ground. Finished 7l behind Footwork when fifth of 11 at 10-1 on his latest outing at Ayr over 1m 1f (good to firm) last month. Runs from 5lb out of handicap.
40/1
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KEY
Odds ShorteningOdds Drifting
Forecast Prices: Elsass 5/1, Spinning Wheel 7/1, Regal Ulixes 8/1, Give It To Me Oj 12/1, Night Breeze 8/1, Hengest 10/1, Bulletin 14/1, Dancing In Paris 12/1, Too Soon 12/1, Asgards Captain 10/1, Antrim 14/1, Prydwen 12/1, Lord Melbourne 16/1, Gordon Grey 16/1, Northwest Passage 33/1, Military Academy 33/1, Max Mayhem 33/1
oddschecker Verdict
Cases can be made for plenty of these, but marginal preference is for ELSASS. The four-year-old arrives here on the back of two impressive victories in recent months and even an 8lb rise for the latest of those wins may not be enough to stop him from making it a hat-trick. That said, Hengest has a similar profile and should not be underestimated. Spinning Wheel only found one too good on his return at Goodwood recently and is likely to be in the mix once again, while Prydwen and Regal Ulixes are others to consider.
Prediction: 1st Elsass, 2nd Hengest, 3rd Spinning Wheel
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