Andy Holding's Premium Racing Tips for Thursday
Ascot 16:40 Betting Odds- Winner
Chapel Down Handicap
- Starters:13
- Distance:7f
- Class: 4
- Age:3YO plus
- Prize:£13425
- Going:Good to firm
Best Odds
Odds Shortening
Odds Drifting
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| 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 |
Win only |
Win only | |||
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Best Odds
Odds Shortening
Odds Drifting
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| 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 |
Win only |
Win only | |||
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| 6 |  Daniel Muscutt-42151 | 11/4 | 9/4 | 9/4 | 5/2 | 5/2 | 5/2 | 5/2 | 9/4 | 5/2 | SP | 5/2 | 5/2 | 5/2 | 9/4 | 9/4 | 9/4 | 9/4 | 5/2 | 9/4 | 9/4 | 12/5 | 9/4 | 9/4 | SP | 27/10 | 27/10 | |
| 2 |  Callum Rodriguez4-6542 | 4 | 4 | 7/2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 7/2 | 4 | SP | 7/2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 7/2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | SP | 7/2 | 401/ 100 | |
| 8 |  Billy Loughnane6545-6 | 11/2 | 11/2 | 11/2 | 11/2 | 11/2 | 11/2 | 11/2 | 11/2 | 11/2 | SP | 11/2 | 11/2 | 11/2 | 11/2 | 11/2 | 11/2 | 11/2 | 11/2 | 11/2 | 11/2 | 11/2 | 11/2 | 11/2 | SP | 152/ 25 | 353/ 50 | |
| 9 |  Kaiya Fraser387771 | 5 | 11/2 | 11/2 | 11/2 | 11/2 | 11/2 | 6 | 11/2 | 11/2 | SP | 11/2 | 11/2 | 11/2 | 11/2 | 11/2 | 11/2 | 11/2 | 11/2 | 11/2 | 11/2 | 11/2 | 6 | 6 | SP | 823/ 100 | 186/ 25 | |
| 3 |  Tom Marquand260757 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 10 | SP | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | SP | 509/ 100 | 29/4 | |
| 1 |  Callum Hutchinson16-300 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | SP | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | SP | 127/ 10 | 147/ 10 | |
| 13 |  P Cosgrave33-230 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 16 | SP | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | SP | 127/ 10 | 81/5 | |
| 5 |  D Egan-08640 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 14 | 14 | SP | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 16 | SP | 88/5 | 21 | |
| 12 |  J F Egan4-3153 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 14 | 14 | SP | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 16 | SP | 171/ 10 | 93/5 | |
| 10 |  Oisin Murphy37-658 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 16 | 16 | SP | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 18 | SP | 20 | 23 | |
| 11 |  J Mitchell4-325 | 20 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 16 | 18 | SP | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | SP | 24 | 32 | |
| 4 |  Finley Marsh685568 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 25 | 28 | SP | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 25 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | SP | 88/5 | 34 | |
| 7 |  S C Cronin-23317 | 28 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 28 | 33 | SP | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 28 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | SP | 181/ 10 | 24 | |
Ascot 16:40 Racecard & Betting Preview
Horse Number
Notables
Overview
Odds
1 (7) Walsons Lawg (GB) 34
Form: 16-300
Age: 5
Weight:
10 - 3
Colour: b
Dam: Blossom Mills
Sire: Wootton Bassett
Dam's Sire: Bahamian Bounty
Trainer: Eve Johnson Houghton
Jockey: Callum Hutchinson
Successful at 7f and 1m on good to firm ground. Beaten 6l behind Leadman at 6-1 when last of 11 on his latest outing at Doncaster over 7f (good to firm) last month.
12/1
2 (13) Havana Blueg (GB) 13
Form: 4-6542
Age: 6
Weight:
10 - 2
Colour: gr
Dam: Exrating
Sire: Havana Grey
Dam's Sire: Exceed And Excel
Trainer: Miss J A Camacho
Jockey: Callum Rodriguez
He has won three times at 7f on good to firm and good ground. Beaten a neck by Lunario when second of 17 at 7-1 on his latest outing over this course and distance (good to firm) earlier this month.
4/1
3 (5) Gallantg (FR) 22
Form: 260757
Age: 4
Weight:
10 - 1 t
Colour: b
Dam: Sailor Moon
Sire: Hello Youmzain
Dam's Sire: Tiger Hill
Trainer: Oli Rix
Jockey: Tom Marquand
Successful at 6f and 1m on the all-weather. Beaten 6l behind Annastarzy at 18-1 when seventh of 14 on his latest outing at Newbury over 7f (good to firm) earlier this month.
10/1
4 (1) Independent Expertm (IRE) 4
Form: 685568
Age: 7
Weight:
10 - 0
Colour: b
Dam: Distinguish
Sire: Gutaifan
Dam's Sire: Refuse To Bend
Trainer: J & S Best
Jockey: Finley Marsh
Has won eight races from 7f to 1m on ground varying from good to heavy and on the all-weather. Beaten 12l behind Amazonian Dream at 66-1 when last of 8 on her latest outing at Windsor over 6f (good to firm) earlier this month.
28/1
5 (2) Dapper Guestg (IRE) 13
Form: -08640
Age: 4
Weight:
10 - 0 v
Colour: b
Dam: Sea Of Dreams
Sire: Dandy Man
Dam's Sire: Oasis Dream
Trainer: G G Margarson
Jockey: D Egan
He has won three times at 7f on good to firm ground and on the all-weather. Beaten 16l behind Aalto at 50-1 when last of 13 on his latest outing at Newmarket over 7f (good to firm) earlier this month.
16/1
6 (10) Mr Writerg (IRE) 20
Form: -42151
Age: 3
Weight:
9 - 11
Colour: gr
Dam: Sacred Dance
Sire: Dark Angel
Dam's Sire: Sea The Stars
Trainer: J R Fanshawe
Jockey: Daniel Muscutt
Successful twice at 7f on good to firm ground. Won on his latest outing when 2-1jt-fav at Leicester over 7f (good to firm) earlier this month, beating Cashbox by a neck. Has also won at Catterick this season.
11/4
7 (11) H Key Lailsg (GB) 21
Form: -23317
Age: 6
Weight:
9 - 11 p
Colour: gr
Dam: Natural Appeal
Sire: Washington Dc
Dam's Sire: Dark Angel
Trainer: M J Attwater
Jockey: S C Cronin (5)
Has won eight races from 7f to 1m 1f on good to firm and good ground and on the all-weather. Beaten 7l behind Cristo at 50-1 when seventh of 10 on his latest outing at Sandown over 1m (good) earlier this month.
33/1
8 (4) Be Frankg (GB) 42
Form: 6545-6
Age: 6
Weight:
9 - 8
Colour: b
Dam: Bonnie Arlene
Sire: Cable Bay
Dam's Sire: Excelebration
Trainer: Ian Williams
Jockey: Billy Loughnane
He has won three times from 6f to 7f on good to firm and good ground. Finished 6l behind Mission Command when sixth of 11 at 16-1 on his latest outing at Chester over 7f (good to soft) last month.
11/2
9 (12) Illys Roog (IRE) 14
Form: 387771
Age: 3
Weight:
9 - 7
Colour: b
Dam: Illykato
Sire: Australia
Dam's Sire: Toronado
Trainer: G Tutty
Jockey: Kaiya Fraser
He has won four times from 7f to 1m on good to firm and good ground and on the all-weather. A winner at 25-1 at York over 1m (good to firm) on his latest outing earlier this month, beating Hambelton by 1/2l. Has also won at Southwell this season.
6/1
10 (6) Mystic Momentf (GB) 23
Form: 37-658
Age: 3
Weight:
9 - 6
Colour: b
Dam: Last Enchantment
Sire: Time Test
Dam's Sire: Camelot
Trainer: N P Mulholland
Jockey: Oisin Murphy
A winner at 7f on good ground. Beaten 8l behind Utmost Good Faith at 20-1 when eighth of 10 on her latest outing at Epsom over 7f (good) earlier this month.
18/1
11 (9) Wieldg (GB) 70
Form: 4-325
Age: 3
Weight:
9 - 6
Colour: b
Dam: Deliberate
Sire: Showcasing
Dam's Sire: Kings Best
Trainer: J Parr
Jockey: J Mitchell
Placed once in four starts. Finished 20l behind We're Goosers when fifth of 6 at 33-1 on his latest outing at Newmarket over 7f (good) in May.
20/1
12 (8) King Of Warg (GB) 14
Form: 4-3153
Age: 7
Weight:
9 - 4 p t
Colour: b
Dam: Materialistic
Sire: Churchill
Dam's Sire: Oasis Dream
Trainer: M Wigham
Jockey: J F Egan
Winner of six races at 7f on ground varying from good to firm to good to soft. Third of 8 behind Kings Merchant beaten 1 1/2l at 3-1 on his latest outing at Chester over 7f (good) earlier this month.
16/1
13 (3) Texg (FR) 58
Form: 33-230
Age: 5
Weight:
9 - 3 p t
Colour: gr
Dam: Sudu Queen
Sire: Dark Angel
Dam's Sire: Invincible Spirit
Trainer: George Baker
Jockey: P Cosgrave
Placed in three of 11 starts. Beaten 20l behind Rhythm N Rock at 13-2 when 12th of 14 on his latest outing at Kempton over 1m in May.
16/1
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KEY
Odds ShorteningOdds Drifting
Forecast Prices: Mr Writer 7/2, Havana Blue 11/4, Be Frank 12/1, Illys Roo 6/1, Gallant 12/1, Walsons Law 10/1, Tex 14/1, Dapper Guest 16/1, King Of War 12/1, Mystic Moment 20/1, Wield 25/1, Independent Expert 25/1, H Key Lails 16/1
oddschecker Verdict
Illy's Roo returned to winning ways over a mile at York a fortnight ago, but a 6lb rise may leave him vulnerable to an improver in the shape of MR WRITER. James Fanshawe's gelding arrives seeking a third win from his last four starts and is expected to have more to offer after going up 4lb for his Leicester success. Havana Blue went close over C&D on his latest effort and is likely to be in the mix once again.
Prediction: 1st Mr Writer, 2nd Havana Blue, 3rd Illys Roo
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