Andy Holding's Premium Horse Racing Tip for Thursday
Kempton 17:54 Betting Odds- Winner
Unibet/EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)
- Starters:12
- Distance:1m 0f 0y
- Class: 4
- Age:2YO only
- Prize:£5940
- Going:Standard to slow
Best Odds
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| 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 |
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| 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 | 3 1/5 |
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| 7 |  R Havlin- | 2 | 7/4 | 13/8 | 7/4 | 7/4 | 7/4 | 7/4 | 7/4 | 7/4 | SP | 7/4 | 13/8 | 7/4 | SP | 7/4 | 7/4 | 7/4 | SP | SP | 13/8 | 7/4 | SP | 12/5 | 11/5 | |
| 1 |  Callum Shepherd1 | 3 | 5/2 | 9/4 | 9/4 | 9/4 | 9/4 | 5/2 | 17/8 | 5/2 | SP | 9/4 | 2 | 9/4 | SP | 9/4 | 9/4 | 9/4 | SP | SP | 2 | 2 | SP | 3 | 14/5 | |
| 3 |  Billy Loughnane5 | 7/2 | 10/3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10/3 | 10/3 | 3 | 10/3 | SP | 10/3 | 3 | 3 | SP | 100/ 30 | 100/ 30 | 10/3 | SP | SP | 3 | 10/3 | SP | 7/2 | 7/2 | |
| 5 |  S M Levey52 | 5 | 9/2 | 9/2 | SP | 9/2 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 4 | 9/2 | SP | 9/2 | 4 | 9/2 | SP | 9/2 | 9/2 | 9/2 | SP | SP | 4 | 9/2 | SP | 549/ 100 | 147/ 25 | |
| 8 |  William Cox- | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 12 | SP | 11 | 10 | 11 | SP | 11 | 11 | 11 | SP | SP | 11 | 12 | SP | 509/ 100 | 137/ 10 | |
| 12 |  Marco Ghiani04 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 16 | 14 | 16 | SP | 14 | 12 | 14 | SP | 14 | 14 | 12 | SP | SP | 14 | 16 | SP | 171/ 10 | 24 | |
| 10 |  Harry Davies- | 22 | 22 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 20 | 25 | SP | 25 | 22 | 25 | SP | 25 | 25 | 25 | SP | SP | 25 | 25 | SP | 103/ 10 | 21 | |
| 9 |  Ebrahim Nader- | 25 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 33 | 25 | 33 | SP | 28 | 25 | 28 | SP | 28 | 28 | 28 | SP | SP | 33 | 33 | SP | 103/ 10 | 34 | |
| 6 |  Daniel Muscutt8 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | SP | 40 | 33 | 40 | SP | 40 | 40 | 40 | SP | SP | 40 | 40 | SP | 103/ 10 | 42 | |
| 11 |  Callum Hutchinson9 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | SP | 40 | 33 | 40 | SP | 40 | 40 | 40 | SP | SP | 40 | 40 | SP | 71/5 | 42 | |
| 4 |  Mason Paetel8 | 50 | 50 | 50 | SP | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | SP | 50 | 40 | 50 | SP | 50 | 50 | 50 | SP | SP | 50 | 50 | SP | 38 | 48 | |
| 2 |  Jason Watson89 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 80 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | SP | 100 | 80 | 80 | SP | 100 | 100 | 100 | SP | SP | 100 | 100 | SP | 40 | 107 | |
Kempton 17:54 Racecard & Betting Preview
Horse Number
Overview
Odds
1 (2) Huwa Bareec (USA) 22
Form: 1
Age: 2
Weight:
9 - 8
Colour: b
Dam: Guilty Twelve
Sire: Saxon Warrior
Dam's Sire: Giants Causeway
Trainer: C Johnston
Jockey: Callum Shepherd
Foaled 29 Mar. Half-brother to Five Towns, won three times at 7f and 1m. A winner at 3-1 at Lingfield over 7f on his latest outing last month, beating Brushstroke by 1l.
3/1
2 (4) Arlecchinos Moonc (GB) 17
Form: 89
Age: 2
Weight:
9 - 4
Colour: gr
Dam: Im Impressed
Sire: Cracksman
Dam's Sire: Toronado
Trainer: M D I Usher
Jockey: Jason Watson
Foaled 15 Mar. Half-brother to Titainium, won twice at 7f and 1m 2f. Unplaced in both starts. Beaten 9l behind Javelot at 200-1 when 9th of 12 on his latest outing at Wolverhampton over 7f last month.
100/1
3 (6) Celtic Stormc (FR) 25
Form: 5
Age: 2
Weight:
9 - 4
Colour: bl
Dam: Daidahana
Sire: Texas
Dam's Sire: Shamardal
Trainer: R Hughes
Jockey: Billy Loughnane
Foaled 16 Apr. Half-brother to Around The World, won at 1m. Finished 5l behind Tredegar Square when fifth of 12 at 5-1 on his racecourse debut here over 7f last month.
7/2
4 (1) Kirilg (GB) 25
Form: 8
Age: 2
Weight:
9 - 4
Colour: ch
Dam: Mighty Afra
Sire: Dream Ahead
Dam's Sire: Zoffany
Trainer: P Owens
Jockey: Mason Paetel (3)
Foaled 20 Feb. Dam won at 1m. Beaten 11l behind Tredegar Square at 33-1 when eighth of 12 on his racecourse debut here over 7f last month.
50/1
5 (10) Peaberryc (GB) 17
Form: 52
Age: 2
Weight:
9 - 4
Colour: b
Dam: Vetlana
Sire: Caturra
Dam's Sire: Vale Of York
Trainer: T Ward
Jockey: S M Levey
Foaled 29 Feb. Half-brother to Oj Lifestyle, won five times between 7f and 1m 2f. Placed once in two starts. Beaten a neck by Javelot when second of 12 at 4-1 on his latest outing at Wolverhampton over 7f last month.
5/1
6 (7) Phantom Knightc (GER) 29
Form: 8
Age: 2
Weight:
9 - 4
Colour: b
Dam: Pray
Sire: Japan
Dam's Sire: Maxios
Trainer: A M Balding
Jockey: Daniel Muscutt
Foaled 24 Feb. Half-brother to Princess, won at 6f. Beaten 20l behind Kodiac City at 11-1 when last of 8 on his racecourse debut at Southwell over 1m last month.
40/1
7 (5) Rogue Crusaderc (GB)
Form:
Age: 2
Weight:
9 - 4
Colour: b
Dam: Bellport
Sire: Persian King
Dam's Sire: Bated Breath
Trainer: P W Chapple-Hyam
Jockey: R Havlin
Foaled 10 Apr. Dam won at 7f.
2/1
8 (9) Shorienc (IRE)
Form:
Age: 2
Weight:
9 - 4
Colour: b
Dam: Rhythm Excel
Sire: Palace Pier
Dam's Sire: Exceed And Excel
Trainer: A Watson
Jockey: William Cox
Foaled 22 Apr. Half-brother to Excel Power, won seven times between 6f and 1m 2f.
12/1
9 (8) Tarn Howsg (GB)
Form:
Age: 2
Weight:
9 - 4
Colour: ch
Dam: Albertine Rose
Sire: Stradivarius
Dam's Sire: Namid
Trainer: D & C Kubler
Jockey: Ebrahim Nader
Foaled 30 Mar. Half-brother to Accrual, won four times at 5f and 6f.
33/1
10 (12) Rock Showc (GB)
Form:
Age: 2
Weight:
9 - 1
Colour: b
Dam: Tafilly
Sire: Showcasing
Dam's Sire: Red Rocks
Trainer: J G Portman
Jockey: Harry Davies
Foaled 3 Apr. Half-brother to Tavana, won twice at 7f.
25/1
11 (11) Tojoannief (GB) 25
Form: 9
Age: 2
Weight:
8 - 13 h
Colour: b
Dam: Decima
Sire: Calyx
Dam's Sire: Dream Ahead
Trainer: A M Balding
Jockey: Callum Hutchinson
Foaled 18 Mar. Dam won twice at 1m 2f and 1m 3f. Beaten 13l behind Tredegar Square at 10-1 when 9th of 12 on her racecourse debut here over 7f last month.
40/1
12 (3) Lunar Blossomf (IRE) 31
Form: 04
Age: 2
Weight:
8 - 10
Colour: b
Dam: Vine Street
Sire: Space Traveller
Dam's Sire: Singspiel
Trainer: W J Knight
Jockey: Marco Ghiani
Foaled 30 Mar. Half-sister to Mulzamm, won four times between 7f and 1m 1f. Unplaced in both starts. Finished 3 1/2l behind Fortunate when fourth of 10 at 9-1 on her latest outing at Lingfield over 7f last month.
16/1
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KEY
Odds ShorteningOdds Drifting
Forecast Prices: Rogue Crusader 8/1, Huwa Baree 5/2, Celtic Storm 6/1, Peaberry 3/1, Shorien 8/1, Lunar Blossom 8/1, Rock Show 12/1, Tarn Hows 33/1, Phantom Knight 50/1, Tojoannie 25/1, Kiril 20/1, Arlecchinos Moon 33/1
oddschecker Verdict
HUWA BAREE made every yard over 7f at Lingfield on debut. Charlie Johnston's charge found plenty for pressure in the closing stages to win a shade cosily in the end and is taken to defy a penalty, with this extra yardage expected to suit. Celtic Storm is another likely to benefit from this longer trip having stayed on well for fifth over 7f here on his introduction, while Wolverhampton runner-up Peaberry could also be in the mix.
Prediction: 1st Huwa Baree, 2nd Celtic Storm, 3rd Peaberry
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