Andy Holding's Premium Horse Racing Tip for Thursday
Kilbeggan 16:07 Betting Odds- Winner
WTW Willis Maiden Hurdle
- Starters:17
- Distance:2m 0f 26y
- Age:4YO plus
- Prize:€7200
- Going:Yielding-good to yielding in places
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| 7 |  Philip Byrnes223-34 | 15/8 | 15/8 | 15/8 | 15/8 | 15/8 | 15/8 | 2 | 7/4 | 2 | SP | 15/8 | 15/8 | 15/8 | SP | 15/8 | 15/8 | 15/8 | SP | SP | 15/8 | 2 | SP | 23/10 | 12/5 | |
| 12 |  Daniel King55-62F | 9/4 | 15/8 | 7/4 | 15/8 | 7/4 | 15/8 | 7/4 | 7/4 | 7/4 | SP | 13/8 | 13/8 | 7/4 | SP | 7/4 | 7/4 | 15/8 | SP | SP | 7/4 | 7/4 | SP | 9/4 | 9/4 | |
| 9 |  Sam Ewing0-222P | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10/3 | 3 | 3 | SP | 11/4 | 11/4 | 3 | SP | 3 | 3 | 3 | SP | SP | 10/3 | 10/3 | SP | 3 | 7/2 | |
| 8 |  Danny Gilligan3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11/4 | 3 | 11/4 | SP | 11/4 | 11/4 | 3 | SP | 11/4 | 3 | 3 | SP | SP | 11/4 | 11/4 | SP | 3 | 10/3 | |
| 3 |  J J SlevinU-7 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 14 | SP | 12 | 12 | 14 | SP | 14 | 14 | 16 | SP | SP | 14 | 14 | SP | 47/10 | 509/ 100 | |
| 6 |  Tiernan Power Roche55-843 | 33 | 33 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 33 | 25 | 28 | SP | 28 | SP | 28 | 28 | SP | SP | 33 | 33 | SP | 421/ 100 | 25 | |||||
| 4 |  Kevin Healy2/ | 40 | 40 | 33 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 33 | 33 | SP | 33 | 33 | 40 | SP | 40 | 40 | 40 | SP | SP | 40 | 40 | SP | 103/ 10 | 40 | |
| 5 |  Shane O'Callaghan/P1-60 | 25 | 28 | 16 | 25 | 33 | 40 | 33 | 33 | SP | 33 | SP | 33 | 50 | SP | SP | 50 | 50 | SP | 20 | 34 | |||||
| 10 |  Donagh Meyler33P3- | 50 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | SP | 33 | 33 | 40 | SP | 40 | 40 | 40 | SP | SP | 40 | 40 | SP | 103/ 10 | 42 | |
| 16 |  Reserve 27 | 66 | 66 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 66 | SP | 50 | 50 | 50 | SP | 66 | 50 | 50 | SP | SP | 66 | 66 | SP | 147/ 25 | 20 | ||
| 15 |  Reserve 1U08 | 66 | 66 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 66 | SP | 50 | 50 | 50 | SP | 66 | 50 | 50 | SP | SP | 66 | 66 | SP | 147/ 25 | 20 | ||
| 2 |  Niall Moore068 | 80 | 66 | 66 | 50 | 66 | 50 | 66 | 50 | 66 | SP | 50 | 50 | 66 | SP | 66 | 66 | 50 | SP | SP | 66 | 66 | SP | 647/ 100 | 23 | |
| 11 |  Conor Smithers74 | 80 | 66 | 66 | 50 | 66 | 50 | 66 | 50 | 66 | SP | 50 | 50 | 66 | SP | 66 | 66 | 50 | SP | SP | 66 | 66 | SP | 49/10 | 23 | |
| 14 |  Alix Balfe77 | 100 | 100 | 80 | 50 | 80 | 50 | 100 | 66 | 80 | SP | 66 | 66 | 80 | SP | 80 | 80 | 50 | SP | SP | 100 | 100 | SP | 647/ 100 | 23 | |
| 13 |  Brian Barry06-7 | 100 | 100 | 80 | 50 | 80 | 50 | 100 | 66 | 80 | SP | 66 | 66 | 80 | SP | 80 | 80 | 50 | SP | SP | 100 | 100 | SP | 647/ 100 | 23 | |
| 17 |  Reserve 37F087/ | 80 | 80 | 80 | 50 | 80 | 50 | 66 | 80 | SP | 50 | 50 | 80 | SP | 80 | 80 | 50 | SP | SP | 100 | 100 | SP | 147/ 25 | 20 | ||
| 1 |  Kieren Buckley0-00 | 125 | 125 | 125 | 50 | 100 | 50 | 150 | 100 | 125 | SP | 80 | 80 | 100 | SP | 125 | 125 | 50 | SP | SP | 150 | 150 | SP | 147/ 25 | 53 | |
Kilbeggan 16:07 Racecard & Betting Preview
Horse Number
Notables
Overview
Odds
1 Glengarriffg (IRE) 60 (476f)
Form: 0-00
Age: 5
Weight:
11 - 12
Colour: b
Dam: Indulged
Sire: Profitable
Dam's Sire: Teofilo
Trainer: P Downey
Jockey: Kieren Buckley
Unplaced in all three starts over hurdles. Well beaten at 300-1 behind Cocofred when 12th of 15 on his latest outing in a maiden hurdle race at Roscommon over 2m (good) in July.
150/1
2 Grabatg (FR) 14
Form: 068
Age: 5
Weight:
11 - 12
Colour: b
Dam: Grande Largeur
Sire: Bathyrhon
Dam's Sire: Poliglote
Trainer: P Fenton
Jockey: Niall Moore (5)
Unplaced in all three starts. Well beaten at 125-1 behind Puppet Master when eighth of 13 on his latest outing in a maiden hurdle race over this course and distance (good) last month.
80/1
3 Minella Cycloneg (IRE) 112
Form: U-7
Age: 5
Weight:
11 - 12
Colour: br
Dam: Mollyking
Sire: Harzand
Dam's Sire: Kings Theatre
Trainer: J P Ryan
Jockey: J J Slevin
Unplaced in both NH starts. Well beaten at 3-1 behind Little Ginger when seventh of 11 on his latest outing in a NH flat race here over 2m 2f (good) in May. Having his first run for a new stable today, previously with John J Nallen in Ireland.
18/1
4 Rule Seventeeng (IRE) 1105
Form: 2/
Age: 7
Weight:
11 - 12 p 1 t 1
Colour: g
Dam: Sweetasever
Sire: No Nay Never
Dam's Sire: Power
Trainer: S Cavanagh
Jockey: Kevin Healy (7)
Beaten 10l by Aurora Vega when second of 6 at 22-1 on his racecourse debut at Killarney over 2m (yielding - soft) in August '23. He is wearing a tongue-tie and cheekpieces for the first time. Having his first run for a new stable today, previously with Adrian Murray in Ireland.
40/1
5 Scotty Joeg (IRE) 90
Form: /P1-60
Age: 5
Weight:
11 - 12
Colour: b
Dam: Country Life
Sire: Elusive Pimpernel
Dam's Sire: Presenting
Trainer: P J Rothwell
Jockey: Shane O'Callaghan (3)
A winner of a point-to-point at 3m on soft ground. Well beaten at 40-1 behind Lizzie Twigg when 17th of 24 on his latest outing in a maiden hurdle race at Punchestown over 2m (good - yielding) in June.
50/1
6 Texas Redg (FR) 25
Form: 55-843
Age: 6
Weight:
11 - 12 p
Colour: ch
Dam: Diva Divina
Sire: Planteur
Dam's Sire: Touch Gold
Trainer: P J Rothwell
Jockey: Tiernan Power Roche
Placed in a hurdle race from seven starts. Third of 15 behind Be My Fortune beaten 5l at 7-2 on his latest outing in a maiden hurdle race at Ballinrobe over 2m (good) last month, his only placing from 7 starts.
33/1
7 Dawn Comingg (IRE) 39
Form: 223-34
Age: 4
Weight:
11 - 10 t
Colour: b
Dam: Come At Dawn
Sire: Make Believe
Dam's Sire: Dawn Approach
Trainer: C Byrnes
Jockey: Philip Byrnes
Placed in six hurdle races from seven NH starts. Finished 19l behind Witches Familiar when fourth of 11 at 25-1 on his latest outing in a hurdle race at Galway over 2m 1f (good) in July.
2/1
8 Ivattg (GB) 19
Form: 3
Age: 4
Weight:
11 - 10
Colour: ch
Dam: Lady Bergamot
Sire: Ghaiyyath
Dam's Sire: Mastercraftsman
Trainer: G Elliott
Jockey: Danny Gilligan
Third of 8 behind Louiescall beaten 4l at 11-4 on his NH debut in a maiden hurdle race at Tramore over 2m 1f (good - yielding) last month.
4/1
9 Asteliam (IRE) 37
Form: 0-222P
Age: 7
Weight:
11 - 5
Colour: ch
Dam: Agapantha
Sire: Sea The Stars
Dam's Sire: Dynaformer
Trainer: Peter Fahey
Jockey: Sam Ewing
Placed in seven hurdle races from ten NH starts. Pulled up at the last when 8-1 at Galway over 2m (good) in a hurdle race won by Venusienne in July on her latest outing.
10/3
10 Dusky Nightm (IRE) 131
Form: 33P3-
Age: 5
Weight:
11 - 5
Colour: ch
Dam: Midnight Fox
Sire: Hillstar
Dam's Sire: Mahler
Trainer: R O'Sullivan
Jockey: Donagh Meyler
Placed in a point-to-point from four starts. Third of 5 behind Northern Singer beaten 22l at 2-1fav on her latest outing in a point-to-point race at Lisronagh over 3m (good - yielding) in April. Having her first run for a new stable today, previously with Trevor Horgan in Ireland.
50/1
11 Hardlee Troublem (IRE) 90
Form: 74
Age: 5
Weight:
11 - 5
Colour: br
Dam: Hard Fought
Sire: Maxios
Dam's Sire: Exit To Nowhere
Trainer: J Fahey
Jockey: Conor Smithers (7)
Unplaced in both starts over hurdles. Well beaten at 100-1 behind Rosie's Wings when fourth of 22 on her latest outing in a maiden hurdle race at Punchestown over 2m (good - yielding) in June.
80/1
12 Hows Elliem (IRE) 25
Form: 55-62F
Age: 5
Weight:
11 - 5
Colour: b
Dam: Killotteran
Sire: Jet Away
Dam's Sire: Flemensfirth
Trainer: W P Mullins
Jockey: Daniel King
Placed in a hurdle race from five starts. Fell having jumped the last when 5-6fav at Ballinrobe over 2m (good) in a maiden hurdle race won by Be My Fortune last month on her latest outing.
9/4
13 Isthatrightkatiem (IRE) 21
Form: 06-7
Age: 6
Weight:
11 - 5 h
Colour: b
Dam: Gothen Niece
Sire: French Navy
Dam's Sire: Gothenberg
Trainer: Miss K Brown
Jockey: Brian Barry (7)
Unplaced in all three NH starts. Well beaten at 200-1 behind Simple Things when seventh of 11 on her hurdling debut at Tramore over 2m (good) last month.
100/1
14 Willows Wordf (IRE) 9
Form: 77
Age: 4
Weight:
11 - 3 t
Colour: b
Dam: Sable Tropical
Sire: Poets Word
Dam's Sire: Marchand De Sable
Trainer: P Rooney
Jockey: Alix Balfe (7)
Unplaced in both starts over hurdles. Well beaten at 100-1 behind Thesilverbridle when seventh of 14 on her latest outing in a maiden hurdle race at Bellewstown over 2m 4f (good - yielding) last month.
100/1
15 Neat As A Pinf (IRE) 32
Form: U08
Age: 4
Weight:
11 - 3
Colour: b
Dam: Rosie Mcqueen
Sire: Getaway
Dam's Sire: Milan
Trainer: E Bolger
Jockey: Reserve 1
Yet to place in three starts. Well beaten at 250-1 behind Easter Bonnet when eighth of 18 on her latest outing in a maiden hurdle race at Cork over 2m 1f (good) last month.
66/1
16 Vartry Diamondm (IRE) 28
Form: 7
Age: 5
Weight:
11 - 5
Colour: b
Dam: Chattleya
Sire: Diamond Boy
Dam's Sire: Desert King
Trainer: P J Rothwell
Jockey: Reserve 2
Half-sister to Torquay Road, won three times over hurdles at 2m 1f and 2m 2f. Well beaten at 100-1 behind Get It Girl when seventh of 12 on her racecourse debut at Wexford over 2m 1f (good) last month.
66/1
17 But What About Mem (IRE) 511
Form: 7F087/
Age: 8
Weight:
11 - 5 t 1
Colour: b
Dam: Generous Sara
Sire: Ocovango
Dam's Sire: Generous
Trainer: B T Murphy
Jockey: Reserve 3
Unplaced in all ten starts. Beaten 8l behind It's Time Again at 12-1 when seventh of 15 on her latest outing in a hurdle race at Ballinrobe over 2m 5f (good) in April last year. She is wearing a tongue-tie for the first time. Having her first run for a new stable today.
100/1
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KEY
Odds ShorteningOdds Drifting
Forecast Prices: Dawn Coming 3/1, Hows Ellie 5/4, Astelia 4/1, Ivatt 5/1, Minella Cyclone 16/1, Texas Red 6/1, Rule Seventeen 16/1, Scotty Joe 33/1, Dusky Night 33/1, Vartry Diamond /, Neat As A Pin /, Grabat 66/1, Hardlee Trouble 66/1, Willows Word 50/1, Isthatrightkatie 200/1, But What About Me /, Glengarriff 200/1
oddschecker Verdict
HOW'S ELLIE was still at the head of affairs when she fell at Ballinrobe 25 days ago and her relatively swift reappearance in similar company is testament that all is well as she bids to make amends for that final-flight mishap. Dawn Coming and the generally consistent Astelia are others with decent chances in a race heavier on numbers than solid contenders.
Prediction: 1st Hows Ellie, 2nd Dawn Coming, 3rd Astelia
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