INSIGHT

The NY-07 Democratic primary is another major open-seat race in New York, with longtime Rep. Nydia Velázquez not seeking reelection after more than three decades in Congress. Kalshi traders have Claire Valdez as the clear favorite on primary day, with Antonio Reynoso still alive but running well behind.

Ryan Garcia and Conor Benn are set to meet in Las Vegas on September 12 in one of the biggest welterweight fights of the year. Garcia opens as the clear betting favorite at -333, while Benn comes back as a +275 underdog in his first world title opportunity.

The NY-12 Democratic primary has become one of New York’s highest-profile open-seat races, with Jerry Nadler stepping aside after more than three decades in Congress. Kalshi traders now give Micah Lasher a clear lead over Alex Bores, while Jack Schlossberg’s early name-driven momentum has faded almost entirely by primary day.

The NY-13 Democratic primary has become one of the most closely watched House races in New York, with incumbent Adriano Espaillat trying to hold off progressive challenger Darializa Avila Chevalier. Kalshi traders have moved back toward Espaillat on primary day, but the market still shows a race that was far more competitive than expected just weeks ago.

The No. 2 pick market in the 2026 NBA Draft is centered on Darryn Peterson, but it is not as locked in as AJ Dybantsa at No. 1. With Utah expected to pick second, Cameron Boozer remains a real alternative if the Jazz decide to avoid the risk attached to Peterson’s camp, health questions, and fit.

The 2026 NBA Draft begins Tuesday, June 23, at 8 p.m. ET from Barclays Center, with the first round on Tuesday night and the second round on Wednesday. The No. 1 pick market is centered on AJ Dybantsa and Darryn Peterson, but Cameron Boozer and Caleb Wilson remain the only other realistic longshots in a loaded freshman-heavy class.

The Giannis Antetokounmpo trade immediately reshaped the Eastern Conference, sending the two-time MVP and Bobby Portis to the Miami Heat while the Milwaukee Bucks begin life after their greatest franchise player. The question now is simple: who won the blockbuster deal?

Harry Kane sits fourth in the 2026 World Cup Golden Boot odds at +700 after scoring twice in England’s opening win over Croatia. With England a massive favorite against Ghana on Tuesday night, Kane has a clear chance to close the gap on Lionel Messi, Kylian Mbappe, and Erling Haaland in the top goalscorer race.

The 2026 World Cup Golden Boot race has tightened after another electric day from Lionel Messi, Kylian Mbappe, and Erling Haaland. With Messi leading on five goals and Mbappe and Haaland sitting one behind at four, the top goalscorer market is already turning into a race between the biggest names in the tournament.

The Miami Heat’s championship odds have surged after a reported blockbuster trade for Giannis Antetokounmpo late Monday night. After sitting at +6000 to win the NBA Finals and +1600 to win the Eastern Conference last week, Miami is now +1600 to win the title and +550 to win the East.

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Erling Haaland scored twice in Norway’s opening win over Iraq and sits behind Lionel Messi and Kylian Mbappe in the Golden Boot market. Can Haaland keep Norway’s attack rolling against Senegal on Monday night, or does Norway’s tougher tournament path make +1200 a fair price? Here is a look at Haaland’s Golden Boot odds and Norway vs. Senegal scoring props.

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Kylian Mbappe scored twice in France’s opening win over Senegal and is already tied with Lionel Messi at the top of the Golden Boot oddsboard. Can Mbappe close the goal gap against Iraq on Monday, or is the market already too short after one match? Here is a look at Mbappe’s Golden Boot odds and France vs. Iraq scoring props.

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Andy Burnham is now the overwhelming favorite to become the next Prime Minister of the UK after Keir Starmer announced his resignation on Monday morning. Kalshi traders price Burnham at 95.9%, leaving Yvette Cooper and Shabana Mahmood as distant longshots in a market that has quickly turned into a near-coronation.